Hensoldt AG (HAG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hensoldt AG stock €33.78, price €82.58, that is 59.1% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Hensoldt AG
HAG · XETRAOur calculation puts a fair price 59% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.36 – €113.10 · fair‑value band €24.28 – €47.56 · the €82.58 price screens above the €33.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Hensoldt AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sensor solutions for defense and security applications worldwide. It operates through Sensors and Optronics segments.
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It offers mobile and stationary radar, and identification friend or foe systems used for surveillance, reconnaissance, civil air traffic control, and air defense; systems for secure data connections for air, sea and land platforms; electronic systems for the acquisition and evaluation of radar and radio signals and jammers; defensive cyber solutions; and situational awareness systems, mission computers, and flight data recorders.
The company also provides electronic self-protection systems that integrate missile, laser and radar warning sensors; customer support and service activities; simulation solutions, training courses and special services, and components and solutions for space-based sensors; and solutions and services for secure digitalization and networking in military and civil dimensions.
In addition, it offers telescopic sights, visors, laser rangefinders, night vision devices and thermal imaging cameras; devices for surveillance and target acquisition for armored vehicles; submarine periscopes, optronic mast systems, and other electro-optical systems for use at sea; and mobile and stationary surveillance solutions; and special equipment for industrial and space applications.
Further, the company provides friend-or-foe detection systems, radar for ship and land applications, cryptographic devices, and tactical point-to-point communication systems; delivery, installation and maintenance of air traffic control radar, weather radar, navigation, voice communications, and runway lighting systems for military and civil airports; and software solutions for military and non-military use.
Hensoldt AG was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Taufkirchen, Germany.
Stock analysis
Hensoldt AG (HAG) currently trades at €82.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €33.78, 59% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €41.67 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €82.58 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €8.29, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €24.28 (bear) to €47.56 (bull), the price of €82.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hensoldt AG reported revenue of €2.5B in FY2025 versus €1.5B in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was €89.0M in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €9.5B Large · P/E ratio 77.9 · P/S ratio 3.56 · EPS (TTM) €1.06 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 12.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −59%, HAG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
HAG screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →
Compare Hensoldt AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 241 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Price/FCF by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA | $149.59 | $172.03 | +15% | vs HAG |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,189 | $1,308 | +10% | vs HAG |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $356.35 | $274.19 | −23% | vs HAG |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $576.16 | $439.21 | −24% | vs HAG |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $525.25 | $382.98 | −27% | vs HAG |
| Airbus SE AIR | €198.88 | €112.14 | −44% | vs HAG |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $191.88 | $88.19 | −54% | vs HAG |
| Rheinmetall AG RHM | €841.50 | €313.19 | −63% | vs HAG |
| General Electric Company GE | $314.73 | $92.26 | −71% | vs HAG |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $200.90 | $52.65 | −74% | vs HAG |
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Key figures of Hensoldt AG
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