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Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Murray Cod Australia Ltd stock A$0.14, price A$0.17, that is 12.4% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive AU · ISIN AU000000MCA4

MC Murray Cod Australia Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Murray Cod Australia Ltd

MCA · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 12% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.1445 · Overvalued
Quality 29/100
Loss-making · -39.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 29/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$3.78 A$0.1150 Fair Value A$0.1445 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1150 – A$3.78 · fair‑value band A$0.0935 – A$0.1785 · the A$0.1650 price screens above the A$0.1445 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Murray Cod Australia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, breeds, grows, and markets freshwater and table fish in Australia. The company breeds and sells Murray cod, Golden perch, and Silver perch as fingerlings. It also provides aquaculture equipment; and sells cattle.

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The company exports its products in Southeast Asia, including Indonesia, Hong Kong, Maldives, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. Murray Cod Australia Limited is headquartered in Griffith, Australia.

Stock analysis

Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA) currently trades at A$0.1650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1445, 12% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0935 (bear) to A$0.1785 (bull), the price of A$0.1650 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Murray Cod Australia Ltd reported revenue of A$13.3M in FY2026 versus A$12.6M in FY2022, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$42.3M (≈ $29.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.57 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Net margin −39.8% · Return on equity −4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 22.8% · Revenue (TTM) A$13.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 85% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −12%, MCA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0935 Fair Value A$0.1445 Bull A$0.1785
Price A$0.1650 · Downside -12.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1100 A$0.1700 A$0.2100 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1100 A$0.1700 A$0.2100 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 2
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 49
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 8
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−79.8% (2021) → −240.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MCA screens overvalued: fair value 12% below the price. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 291 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −39.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 22.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.13× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)17 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.10 THB 40.78 THB +103% vs MCA
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 218.00 kr 273.41 +25% vs MCA
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $59.68 $73.24 +23% vs MCA
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥44.40 ¥53.02 +19% vs MCA
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.38 MYR 33.42 MYR +10% vs MCA
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $69.97 $61.55 −12% vs MCA
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥16.82 ¥12.08 −28% vs MCA
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥129.60 ¥88.62 −32% vs MCA
Bunge Global SA BG $99.10 $56.81 −43% vs MCA
SalMar ASA SALM kr 572.50 kr 260.28 −55% vs MCA

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Murray Cod Australia Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Murray Cod Australia Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCA

Frequently asked questions

Is Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1445 versus a price of A$0.1650, about 12% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MCA?
Our model-based fair value for Murray Cod Australia Ltd is A$0.1445 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1650.
What is the quality score of MCA?
Murray Cod Australia Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1445 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0935, optimistic scenario A$0.1785. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Murray Cod Australia Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1445, about 12% lower versus a price of A$0.1650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0935, optimistic scenario A$0.1785. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
Murray Cod Australia Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$13.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Murray Cod Australia Ltd it is A$0.1445 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of A$0.1650. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Murray Cod Australia Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, MCA trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1650, fair value A$0.1445, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MCA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1445). For Murray Cod Australia Ltd the two are A$0.0205 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Murray Cod Australia Ltd worth?
The market values Murray Cod Australia Ltd at about A$42.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1650; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1445 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MCA?
Our models span a range for Murray Cod Australia Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0935, base A$0.1445, optimistic A$0.1785 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price A$0.1650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Murray Cod Australia Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −4.8%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MCA from its 52-week high?
Murray Cod Australia Ltd trades at A$0.1650, about 85% below its 52-week high of A$1.09 and 43% above the low of A$0.1150 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1445 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Murray Cod Australia Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Murray Cod Australia Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price A$0.1650, calculated fair value A$0.1445 (−12%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MCA calculated?
We run Murray Cod Australia Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.1445 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Murray Cod Australia Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.1650. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1445, about 12% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Murray Cod Australia Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$0.0935 to A$0.1785) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Murray Cod Australia Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
The market capitalisation of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is A$42.3M (≈ $29.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is 2.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
Earnings per share at Murray Cod Australia Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
The net margin of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is −39.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is −4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is −12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
The operating margin of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA)?
Revenue at Murray Cod Australia Ltd is growing +11.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA) generate?
The free cash flow of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is −A$28.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Murray Cod Australia Ltd (MCA) carry?
The net debt of Murray Cod Australia Ltd is A$32.1M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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