EN DE
Watch Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited stock $0.28, price $1.22, that is 77.1% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Consumer Cyclical US · Based in Hong Kong · ISIN KYG6169A1040

MG Millennium Group International Holdings Limited logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited

MGIH · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 77% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 23% below a year ago.
Fair value $0.2800 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 35/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.6 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -29.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
Watch Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.21 $0.9500 Fair Value $0.2800 Apr 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

43‑month range $0.9500 – $3.21 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.3500 · the $1.22 price screens above the $0.2800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

Follow Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides paper-based packaging solutions in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, rest of Southeast Asian countries, Australia, the United States, and internationally.

Show moreShow less

It offers paper packaging products, including raw papers, kraft papers, cardboards, and carton papers or corrugated paperboards for footwear products, sportswear, cookware and kitchenware, smartphones, home electronics, food and beverage, paper and packaging, non-food-and-beverage-consumables, logistics, and e-commerce industries.

The company also provides packaging products supply chain management solutions, and board games and various board game accessories; and book production services, such as cover design and interior layout, printing, and binding services.

The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Millennium Group International Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of YC 1926 (BVI) Limited.

Stock analysis

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) currently trades at $1.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2800, 77% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.1800 (bear) to $0.3500 (bull), the price of $1.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $20.3M in FY2026 versus $66.2M in FY2022, a compound −25.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $13.7M Micro · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6300 · Net margin −29.7% · Return on equity −26.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −31.9% · Revenue (TTM) $22.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −77%, MGIH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1800 Fair Value $0.2800 Bull $0.3500
Price $1.22 · Downside -77.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.1800 $0.2800 $0.3500 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1800 $0.2800 $0.3500 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 60
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 90
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 35
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 66
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.9% (2021) → −36.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MGIH screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

Compare Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −23.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −29.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −31.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −23.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.62× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Crown Holdings CCK $121.30 $121.85 +0% vs MGIH
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.09 $44.16 +0% vs MGIH
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.68 €9.67 +0% vs MGIH
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.11 $19.83 −18% vs MGIH
Amcor plc AMCR $44.87 $36.70 −18% vs MGIH
Ball Corporation BALL $65.92 $48.92 −26% vs MGIH
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $186.78 $125.58 −33% vs MGIH
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.10 CHF 9.03 −40% vs MGIH
Packaging Corporation PKG $249.70 $130.52 −48% vs MGIH
International Paper Company IP $34.53 $6.91 −80% vs MGIH

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Free calculator Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Free calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGIH

Frequently asked questions

Is Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2800 versus a price of $1.22, about 77% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGIH?
Our model-based fair value for Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is $0.2800 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.22.
What is the quality score of MGIH?
Millennium Group International Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2800 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2800, about 77% lower versus a price of $1.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Millennium Group International Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Millennium Group International Holdings Limited it is $0.2800 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $1.22. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, MGIH trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.22, fair value $0.2800, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGIH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2800). For Millennium Group International Holdings Limited the two are $0.9410 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Millennium Group International Holdings Limited at about $13.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $1.22; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGIH?
Our models span a range for Millennium Group International Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.1800, base $0.2800, optimistic $0.3500 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $1.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −26.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGIH from its 52-week high?
Millennium Group International Holdings Limited trades at $1.22, about 32% below its 52-week high of $1.79 and at the low of $1.22 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $1.22, calculated fair value $0.2800 (−77%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGIH calculated?
We run Millennium Group International Holdings Limited through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.2800 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Millennium Group International Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.22. Our model-based fair value is $0.2800, about 77% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1800 to $0.3500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
The market capitalisation of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is $13.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is 0.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Earnings per share at Millennium Group International Holdings Limited are $−0.6300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
The net margin of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is −29.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is −26.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is −10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
The operating margin of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is −31.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Revenue at Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is growing −23.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH)?
Earnings per share at Millennium Group International Holdings Limited are growing −50.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) generate?
The free cash flow of Millennium Group International Holdings Limited is −$6.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Millennium Group International Holdings Limited (MGIH) hold?
Millennium Group International Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, $973K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares in the live analysis

One click puts Millennium Group International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.