Miller Industries Inc (MLR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Miller Industries Inc stock $42.57, price $46.32, that is 8.1% below the price, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.90 – $74.54 · fair‑value band $31.93 – $53.22 · the $46.32 price screens above the $42.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Miller Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells towing and recovery equipment.
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It provides wreckers that are used to recover and tow disabled vehicles and other equipment; and car carriers, which are specialized flat-bed vehicles with hydraulic tilt mechanisms, which are used to transport new or disabled vehicles and other equipment.
The company also offers transport trailers for moving multiple vehicles for auto auctions, car dealerships, leasing companies, and other similar operations. It markets its products under the Century, Vulcan, Chevron, Holmes, Challenger, Champion, Jige, Boniface, Omars, Titan, and Eagle brand names.
The company sells its products through independent distributors in North America, and Canada, Mexico; and through prime contractors to governmental entities. Miller Industries, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Ooltewah, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
Miller Industries Inc (MLR) currently trades at $46.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.57, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $78.47 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the $46.32 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.99, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $31.93 (bear) to $53.22 (bull), the price of $46.32 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Miller Industries Inc reported revenue of $790M in FY2025 versus $717M in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $23.0M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $591M Small · P/E ratio 37.1 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) $1.25 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −8%, MLR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$31.93Fair Value $42.57Bull$53.22
Price $46.32 · Downside -8.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3676 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.9% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.4% vs 3.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.5% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−8.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.4% · Below median
Return on assets3.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Miller Industries Inc (MLR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.57 versus a price of $46.32, about 8% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MLR?
Our model-based fair value for Miller Industries Inc is $42.57 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $46.32.
What is the quality score of MLR?
Miller Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $42.57 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.93, optimistic scenario $53.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Miller Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $42.57, about 8% lower versus a price of $46.32 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $31.93, optimistic scenario $53.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Miller Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $771M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Miller Industries Inc pay a dividend?
Miller Industries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Miller Industries Inc (MLR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Miller Industries Inc pays a dividend of $0.82 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 8, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2010. The payout ratio is 65.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 9.13 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Miller Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MLR use?
Our models discount Miller Industries Inc at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Miller Industries Inc that is -8.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Miller Industries Inc (MLR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Miller Industries Inc grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -8.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Miller Industries Inc (MLR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Miller Industries Inc (-8.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.93 %: that much free cash flow Miller Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Miller Industries Inc it is $42.57 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $46.32. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Miller Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, MLR trades above its calculated fair value: price $46.32, fair value $42.57, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($46.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($42.57). For Miller Industries Inc the two are $3.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Miller Industries Inc worth?
The market values Miller Industries Inc at about $591M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $46.32; our models calculate a fair value of $42.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLR?
Our models span a range for Miller Industries Inc: cautious scenario $31.93, base $42.57, optimistic $53.22 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $46.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MLR?
Miller Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.1 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $42.57 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2023, FY2025 ex one-offs: 13.7. Other multiples: PEG 2.6, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 15.4.
What is the PEG ratio of MLR?
The PEG ratio of Miller Industries Inc is 2.56 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Miller Industries Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLR from its 52-week high?
Miller Industries Inc trades at $46.32, about 20% below its 52-week high of $57.83 and 31% above the low of $35.25 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $42.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Miller Industries Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Miller Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $46.32, calculated fair value $42.57 (−8%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLR calculated?
We run Miller Industries Inc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $42.57 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Miller Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $46.32. Our model-based fair value is $42.57, about 8% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Miller Industries Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Miller Industries Inc (MLR) come from?
Earnings per share at Miller Industries Inc grew +12.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.5 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Miller Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The market capitalisation of Miller Industries Inc is $591M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Miller Industries Inc is 0.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Earnings per share at Miller Industries Inc are $1.25 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The dividend yield of Miller Industries Inc is 1.8% (payout 65.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The net margin of Miller Industries Inc is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Miller Industries Inc is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Miller Industries Inc is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
The operating margin of Miller Industries Inc is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Revenue at Miller Industries Inc is growing +12.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Miller Industries Inc (MLR)?
Earnings per share at Miller Industries Inc are growing −13.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Miller Industries Inc (MLR) hold?
Miller Industries Inc holds more cash than debt, $11.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026