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Miller Industries, Inc (MLR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $567M

MI Miller Industries, Inc logo Miller Industries, Inc MLR · US
Price$54.54
Fair Value$42.41
Upside-22.2%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range $31.81 – $53.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +13.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($53.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$74.54 $19.90 Fair Value $42.41 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.90 – $74.54 · fair‑value band $31.81 – $53.01 · the $54.54 price screens above the $42.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Miller Industries, Inc (MLR) currently trades at $54.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.41, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Miller Industries, Inc generated revenue of $745M at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $31.81 (bear case) to $53.01 (bull case); at $54.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -22%, MLR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $72.79 $102.04 $139.23 80
Residual Income $27.02 $27.02 $24.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF $43.86 $61.43 $82.42 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $72.57 $106.73 $153.28 38
Owner Earnings $21.34 $30.98 $44.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $43.86 $60.41 $80.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $50.61 $73.21 $98.96 41
5Y P/E Exit $46.51 $65.44 $84.88 38
10Y Revenue Exit $54.21 $71.53 $93.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $58.82 $79.72 $106.39 37
10Y P/E Exit $56.42 $74.75 $96.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.73 $46.05 $61.68 54
Lynch FV $10.48 $14.96 $19.45 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.48 $14.96 $19.45 46
EPV $17.29 $19.49 $21.32 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.24 $11.25 $15.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.24 $10.04 $12.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $31.81 $42.41 $53.01 63
P/S Multiple $25.75 $34.33 $42.92 58
P/B Multiple $25.75 $34.33 $42.92 55
EV/EBIT $36.34 $48.05 $59.77 53
EV/EBITDA $40.63 $53.78 $66.92 54
EV/Revenue $26.28 $37.03 $47.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.45 $24.73 $36.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $72.79 $102.04 $139.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.86 $61.43 $82.42 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.02 $27.02 $24.75 76
ROIC Compounder $17.29 $19.49 $21.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $27.00 $38.58 $50.15 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($71.53) versus Dividend Discount ($10.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $745M
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.8%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow $85.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.1
More key figures
Operating margin 1.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.34
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -92.9%
Net cash $11.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Miller Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells towing and recovery equipment. It provides wreckers that are used to recover and tow disabled vehicles and other equipment; and car carriers, which are specialized flat-bed vehicles with hydraulic tilt mechanisms, which are used to transport new or disabled vehicles and other …

Full company description

Miller Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells towing and recovery equipment. It provides wreckers that are used to recover and tow disabled vehicles and other equipment; and car carriers, which are specialized flat-bed vehicles with hydraulic tilt mechanisms, which are used to transport new or disabled vehicles and other equipment. The company also offers transport trailers for moving multiple vehicles for auto auctions, car dealerships, leasing companies, and other similar operations. It markets its products under the Century, Vulcan, Chevron, Holmes, Challenger, Champion, Jige, Boniface, Omars, Titan, and Eagle brand names. The company sells its products through independent distributors in North America, and Canada, Mexico; and through prime contractors to governmental entities. Miller Industries, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Ooltewah, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Miller Industries, Inc reported revenue of $790M in FY2025 versus $717M in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $23.0M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$790M
Latest YoY
−37.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+7.1%
Revenue +2.4%/yr
FY21 $717M
FY22 $848M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $790M
Net income +9.1%/yr
FY21 $16.3M
FY22 $20.3M
FY23 $58.3M
FY24 $63.5M
FY25 $23.0M

MLR screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Miller Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLR

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 15 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

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Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Miller Industries, Inc (MLR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.41 versus a price of $54.54, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLR?
Our model-based fair value for Miller Industries, Inc is $42.41 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $54.54.
What is the quality score of MLR?
Miller Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Miller Industries, Inc (MLR)?
Miller Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $745M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLR?
The net profit margin of Miller Industries, Inc is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Miller Industries, Inc pay a dividend?
Miller Industries, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.66% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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