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NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NEXE Innovations Inc stock C$0.09, price C$0.13, that is 28.0% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CA · ISIN CA65344W1077

NI NEXE Innovations Inc logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

NEXE Innovations Inc

NEXE · V
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 43/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +139.1 %/yr in CAD)
Fair value C$0.0900 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$1.08 C$0.1000 Fair Value C$0.0900 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1000 – C$1.08 · fair‑value band C$0.0600 – C$0.1100 · the C$0.1250 price screens above the C$0.0900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

NEXE Innovations Inc. manufactures and sells plant-based single-serve coffee pods for use in single-serve coffee machines in Canada. NEXE Innovations Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Surrey, Canada.

Stock analysis

NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) currently trades at C$0.1250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0900, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0600 (bear) to C$0.1100 (bull), the price of C$0.1250 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

NEXE Innovations Inc reported revenue of C$680K in FY2026 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$5.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$12.2M (≈ $8.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 17.5 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0600 · Return on equity −18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −746% · Revenue (TTM) C$693K · Revenue growth (YoY) +10.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −28%, NEXE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0600 Fair Value C$0.0900 Bull C$0.1100
Price C$0.1250 · Downside -28.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0600 C$0.0900 C$0.1100 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0600 C$0.0900 C$0.1100 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 65
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 10
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29,153.3% (2022) → −819.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NEXE screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −28.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 17.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)53 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Crown Holdings CCK $121.30 $121.85 +0% vs NEXE
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.09 $44.16 +0% vs NEXE
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.68 €9.67 +0% vs NEXE
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.11 $19.83 −18% vs NEXE
Amcor plc AMCR $44.87 $36.70 −18% vs NEXE
Ball Corporation BALL $65.92 $48.92 −26% vs NEXE
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $186.78 $125.58 −33% vs NEXE
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.10 CHF 9.03 −40% vs NEXE
Packaging Corporation PKG $249.70 $130.52 −48% vs NEXE
International Paper Company IP $34.53 $6.91 −80% vs NEXE

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NEXE Innovations Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NEXE Innovations Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEXE

Frequently asked questions

Is NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0900 versus a price of C$0.1250, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEXE?
Our model-based fair value for NEXE Innovations Inc is C$0.0900 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1250.
What is the quality score of NEXE?
NEXE Innovations Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0900 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0600, optimistic scenario C$0.1100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NEXE Innovations Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0900, about 28% lower versus a price of C$0.1250 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0600, optimistic scenario C$0.1100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
NEXE Innovations Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$693K (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NEXE Innovations Inc it is C$0.0900 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of C$0.1250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is NEXE Innovations Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, NEXE trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1250, fair value C$0.0900, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEXE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0900). For NEXE Innovations Inc the two are C$0.0350 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NEXE Innovations Inc worth?
The market values NEXE Innovations Inc at about C$12.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1250; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEXE?
Our models span a range for NEXE Innovations Inc: cautious scenario C$0.0600, base C$0.0900, optimistic C$0.1100 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price C$0.1250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Balance-sheet figures for NEXE Innovations Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −18.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEXE from its 52-week high?
NEXE Innovations Inc trades at C$0.1250, about 44% below its 52-week high of C$0.2250 and 25% above the low of C$0.1000 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NEXE Innovations Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NEXE Innovations Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price C$0.1250, calculated fair value C$0.0900 (−28%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEXE calculated?
We run NEXE Innovations Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.0900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. NEXE Innovations Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$0.1250. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0900, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NEXE Innovations Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0600 to C$0.1100) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of NEXE Innovations Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The market capitalisation of NEXE Innovations Inc is C$12.2M (≈ $8.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NEXE Innovations Inc is 17.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Earnings per share at NEXE Innovations Inc are C$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NEXE Innovations Inc is −18.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NEXE Innovations Inc is −17.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The operating margin of NEXE Innovations Inc is −746% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Revenue at NEXE Innovations Inc is growing +10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +193%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) generate?
The free cash flow of NEXE Innovations Inc is −C$3.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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