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NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of NEXE Innovations Inc C$0.13, price C$0.14, upside -7.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CA · ISIN CA65344W1077

NI Thin data Sep 23, 2026

NEXE Innovations Inc

NEXE · V

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value C$0.1300 · Fairly valued (−7%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +200.0 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$1.24 C$0.1000 Fair Value C$0.1300 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1000 – C$1.24 · fair‑value band C$0.0900 – C$0.1600 · the C$0.1400 price screens above the C$0.1300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

NEXE Innovations Inc. manufactures and sells plant-based single-serve coffee pods for use in single-serve coffee machines in Canada. NEXE Innovations Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Surrey, Canada.

Stock analysis

NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) currently trades at C$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1300, implying the stock looks roughly 7.7% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0900 (bear) to C$0.1600 (bull), the price of C$0.1400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

NEXE Innovations Inc reported revenue of C$149K in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$6.5M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$13.6M (≈ $9.6M) · P/S ratio 27.0 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0600 · Return on equity −19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.7% · Operating margin −1,173% · Revenue growth (YoY) −17.8% · Free cash flow −C$3.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −7%, NEXE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0900 Fair Value C$0.1300 Bull C$0.1600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1700 C$0.2300 C$0.3500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1700 C$0.2300 C$0.3500 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare NEXE Innovations Inc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 18.45× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $240.98 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.70 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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NEXE Innovations Inc · Fair Value
C$0.1300 −8%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NEXE Innovations Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEXE

Frequently asked questions

Is NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1300 versus a price of C$0.1400, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NEXE?
Our model-based fair value for NEXE Innovations Inc is C$0.1300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1400.
What is the quality score of NEXE?
NEXE Innovations Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0900, optimistic scenario C$0.1600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NEXE Innovations Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1300, about −7% upside versus a price of C$0.1400 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$0.0900, optimistic scenario C$0.1600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NEXE Innovations Inc it is C$0.1300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.1400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NEXE Innovations Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NEXE trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1400, fair value C$0.1300, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEXE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1300). For NEXE Innovations Inc the two are C$0.0100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NEXE Innovations Inc worth?
The market values NEXE Innovations Inc at about C$13.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEXE?
Our models span a range for NEXE Innovations Inc: cautious scenario C$0.0900, base C$0.1300, optimistic C$0.1600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.1400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Balance-sheet figures for NEXE Innovations Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −19.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEXE from its 52-week high?
NEXE Innovations Inc trades at C$0.1400, about 38% below its 52-week high of C$0.2250 and 40% above the low of C$0.1000 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NEXE Innovations Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NEXE Innovations Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.1400, calculated fair value C$0.1300 (−7%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEXE calculated?
We run NEXE Innovations Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. NEXE Innovations Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$0.1400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1300, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NEXE Innovations Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of NEXE Innovations Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The market capitalisation of NEXE Innovations Inc is C$13.6M (≈ $9.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NEXE Innovations Inc is 27.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Earnings per share at NEXE Innovations Inc are C$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NEXE Innovations Inc is −19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NEXE Innovations Inc is −17.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
The operating margin of NEXE Innovations Inc is −1,173% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE)?
Revenue at NEXE Innovations Inc is growing −17.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does NEXE Innovations Inc (NEXE) generate?
The free cash flow of NEXE Innovations Inc is −C$3.3M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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