Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Newpeak Metals Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.01, upside +84.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.2000 · fair‑value band A$0.0092 – A$0.0134 · the A$0.0060 price screens below the A$0.0110 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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NewPeak Metals Limited, a mineral resource company, explores for and evaluates properties in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, and Europe. It also explores for gold, uranium, rare earth elements, scandium, and vanadium deposits.
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The company was formerly known as Dark Horse Resources Limited and changed its name to NewPeak Metals Limited in September 2020. NewPeak Metals Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) currently trades at A$0.0060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0110, implying the stock looks roughly 46% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.0900 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the A$0.0060 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0092 (bear) to A$0.0134 (bull), the price of A$0.0060 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Newpeak Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$20.4K in FY2023 versus A$10 in FY2019, a compound +572.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.4M in FY2025, compounding +189.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$3.7M (≈ $2.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 0.6 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 59.6% · Return on equity 91.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 84%, NPM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0092Fair Value A$0.0110BullA$0.0134
Price A$0.0060 · Upside +84.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+287.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+79.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+75.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.75.4% vs −29.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15,542% → −10,752%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 26.7%/yr over ~9Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 205 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Above median
Fair Value upside+83.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)91.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets57.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)59.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−22.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)165.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0110 versus a price of A$0.0060, about +84% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPM?
Our model-based fair value for Newpeak Metals Ltd is A$0.0110 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0060.
What is the quality score of NPM?
Newpeak Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0110 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0092, optimistic scenario A$0.0134. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Newpeak Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0110, about +84% upside versus a price of A$0.0060 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0092, optimistic scenario A$0.0134. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Newpeak Metals Ltd pay a dividend?
Newpeak Metals Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.32% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Newpeak Metals Ltd has a dividend yield of 4.3%.
What is the intrinsic value of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Newpeak Metals Ltd it is A$0.0110 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.0060. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Newpeak Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, NPM trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0060, fair value A$0.0110, a gap of about +84% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NPM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0060); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0110). For Newpeak Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Newpeak Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Newpeak Metals Ltd at about A$3.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0060; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0110 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NPM?
Our models span a range for Newpeak Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0092, base A$0.0110, optimistic A$0.0134 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.0060). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NPM?
Newpeak Metals Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.6 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0110 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Newpeak Metals Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 91.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NPM from its 52-week high?
Newpeak Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0060, about 79% below its 52-week high of A$0.0280 and at the low of A$0.0060 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0110 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Newpeak Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Newpeak Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.0060, calculated fair value A$0.0110 (+84%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NPM calculated?
We run Newpeak Metals Ltd through 7 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0110 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Newpeak Metals Ltd currently trades 46% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0060. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0110, about +84% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Newpeak Metals Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (47/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0092). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Newpeak Metals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The market capitalisation of Newpeak Metals Ltd is A$3.7M (≈ $2.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Newpeak Metals Ltd is 0.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Earnings per share at Newpeak Metals Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The dividend yield of Newpeak Metals Ltd is 4.3% (payout 2.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The net margin of Newpeak Metals Ltd is 59.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Newpeak Metals Ltd is 91.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Newpeak Metals Ltd is −21.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The operating margin of Newpeak Metals Ltd is −22.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Revenue at Newpeak Metals Ltd is growing +166% versus a year earlier (3y avg +288%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Earnings per share at Newpeak Metals Ltd are growing +205% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) generate?
The free cash flow of Newpeak Metals Ltd is −A$2.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) hold?
Newpeak Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$153K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026