Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Newpeak Metals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.2000 · the A$0.0080 price screens below the A$0.0100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
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NewPeak Metals Limited, a mineral resource company, explores for and evaluates properties in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, and Europe. It also explores for gold, uranium, rare earth elements, scandium, and vanadium deposits.
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NewPeak Metals Limited, a mineral resource company, explores for and evaluates properties in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, and Europe. It also explores for gold, uranium, rare earth elements, scandium, and vanadium deposits. The company was formerly known as Dark Horse Resources Limited and changed its name to NewPeak Metals Limited in September 2020. NewPeak Metals Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) currently trades at A$0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0100, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Newpeak Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$20.4K in FY2023 versus A$10 in FY2019, a compound +572.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.6M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap A$4.9M (≈ $3.5M) · P/E ratio 0.3 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0300 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Return on equity 104% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.8% · Revenue growth (YoY) +166% · EPS growth (YoY) +205%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 25%, NPM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+287.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15,542.3% (2018) → −10,752.4% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Below median
Fair Value upside+25% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)104% · Top 25%
Return on assets−14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth166% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
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Is Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0100 versus a price of A$0.0080, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPM?
Our model-based fair value for Newpeak Metals Ltd is A$0.0100 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0080.
What is the quality score of NPM?
Newpeak Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0100 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Newpeak Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0100, about +25% upside versus a price of A$0.0080 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Newpeak Metals Ltd pay a dividend?
Newpeak Metals Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Newpeak Metals Ltd it is A$0.0100 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0080. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Newpeak Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, NPM trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0080, fair value A$0.0100, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NPM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0080); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0100). For Newpeak Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0020 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Newpeak Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Newpeak Metals Ltd at about A$4.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0080; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0100 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of NPM?
Newpeak Metals Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Newpeak Metals Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 104.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NPM from its 52-week high?
Newpeak Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0080, about 71% below its 52-week high of A$0.0280 and at the low of A$0.0080 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Newpeak Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Newpeak Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0080, calculated fair value A$0.0100 (+25%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NPM calculated?
We run Newpeak Metals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Newpeak Metals Ltd currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0080. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0100, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Newpeak Metals Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Newpeak Metals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The market capitalisation of Newpeak Metals Ltd is A$4.9M (≈ $3.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Earnings per share at Newpeak Metals Ltd are A$0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The dividend yield of Newpeak Metals Ltd is 3.7% (payout 1.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Newpeak Metals Ltd is 104% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Newpeak Metals Ltd is −20.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Revenue at Newpeak Metals Ltd is growing +166% versus a year earlier (3y avg +288%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM)?
Earnings per share at Newpeak Metals Ltd are growing +205% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) generate?
The free cash flow of Newpeak Metals Ltd is −A$1.1M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Newpeak Metals Ltd (NPM) carry?
The net debt of Newpeak Metals Ltd is A$63.7K (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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