NewPeak Metals Limited (NPM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$5.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −11.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0134 to A$0.0149), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.2500 · fair‑value band A$0.0134 – A$0.0149 · the A$0.0150 price screens below the A$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
NewPeak Metals Limited (NPM) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Revenue grew 165.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 104.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0134 (bear case) to A$0.0149 (bull case); at A$0.0150, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 13%, NPM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NewPeak Metals Limited, a mineral resource company, explores for and evaluates properties in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, and Europe. It also explores for gold, uranium, rare earth elements, scandium, and vanadium deposits.
Full company description
NewPeak Metals Limited, a mineral resource company, explores for and evaluates properties in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, and Europe. It also explores for gold, uranium, rare earth elements, scandium, and vanadium deposits. The company was formerly known as Dark Horse Resources Limited and changed its name to NewPeak Metals Limited in September 2020. NewPeak Metals Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
NewPeak Metals Limited reported revenue of A$20.4K in FY2023 versus A$10 in FY2019, a compound +572.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.6M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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