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Next10 Inc (NXTN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Next10 Inc stock $0.12, price $0.85, that is 86.0% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 3 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

NI Next10 Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Next10 Inc

NXTN · US

Far too expensive (fair value 86% below the price) and weak company.

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Low debt 
Revenue last quarter 75% below a year ago. 
Fair value $0.1190 · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 25/100 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −53.4 %/yr in USD) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/6) 
Narrow moat 40/100 · thin data
Thin data 
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$418.50 $0.0070 Fair Value $0.1190 Jan 2010 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0070 – $418.50 · fair‑value band $0.0935 – $0.1615 · the $0.8500 price screens above the $0.1190 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Next10, Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of security systems for the cargo transportation industry primarily in the United States and Canada.

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The company offers "Bulldog Online Security Systems' (BOSS), which is designed to prevent cargo theft from cargo containers, tractor-trailers, cargo vans, tanker trucks, storage year containers, and other cargo transportation and storage equipment.

Its products alert onsite security personnel in the event of theft or tampering; alert the driver in the event someone attempts to access the cargo; and monitors multiple roll-up and sliding doors, prevents unauthorized entry and intrusion, and alert the driver through a mobile receiver a thief attempt to enter, move, or remove items from the delivery vehicle.

The company's BOSS line of products primarily include The Yard BOSS, The Road BOSS, The Tanker BOSS, Bulldogs BOSS Tracker, and Mini BOSS System. It offers its products to retail, pharmaceutical, high technology, and government markets.

The company was formerly known as Bulldog Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to Next10, Inc. on March 25, 2011. Next10, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Placentia, California.

Stock analysis

Next10 Inc (NXTN) currently trades at $0.8500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1190, 86% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.1700 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.8500 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1100, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0935 (bear) to $0.1615 (bull), the price of $0.8500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Next10 Inc reported revenue of $219K in FY2025 versus $28.5M in FY2021, a compound −70.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$489K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $67.6M Micro · EPS (TTM) $−32.71 · Return on equity −545% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3,927% · Revenue (TTM) $205K · Revenue growth (YoY) −75.4% · Free cash flow −$119K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 227% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −86%, NXTN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0935 Fair Value $0.1190 Bull $0.1615
Price $0.8500 · Downside -86.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $0.1100 $0.1400 $0.1900 78
EV/EBITDA $0.1200 $0.1700 $0.2100 67
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.1100 $0.1400 $0.1900 78
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.1200 $0.1700 $0.2100 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 3
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 48
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−98.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−80.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−53.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.6% (2020) → −209.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NXTN screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 46 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −75.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.13× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $62.39 $99.82 +60% vs NXTN
TFI International Inc TFII $96.89 $112.09 +16% vs NXTN
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $170.50 $174.14 +2% vs NXTN
Mullen Group MTL C$29.94 C$19.85 −34% vs NXTN
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $27.84 $16.48 −41% vs NXTN
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.32 ¥2.54 −41% vs NXTN
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $29.17 $16.20 −44% vs NXTN
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $135.91 $52.83 −61% vs NXTN
XPO, Inc XPO $189.00 $71.58 −62% vs NXTN
Saia, Inc SAIA $339.57 $126.27 −63% vs NXTN

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Next10 Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Next10 Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXTN

Frequently asked questions

Is Next10 Inc (NXTN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1190 versus a price of $0.8500, about 86% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXTN?
Our model-based fair value for Next10 Inc is $0.1190 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8500.
What is the quality score of NXTN?
Next10 Inc has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1190 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0935, optimistic scenario $0.1615. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Next10 Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1190, about 86% lower versus a price of $0.8500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0935, optimistic scenario $0.1615. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Next10 Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $205K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Next10 Inc it is $0.1190 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $0.8500. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Next10 Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, NXTN trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.8500, fair value $0.1190, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXTN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1190). For Next10 Inc the two are $0.7310 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Next10 Inc worth?
The market values Next10 Inc at about $67.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $0.8500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1190 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXTN?
Our models span a range for Next10 Inc: cautious scenario $0.0935, base $0.1190, optimistic $0.1615 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $0.8500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is NXTN from its 52-week high?
Next10 Inc trades at $0.8500, about 71% below its 52-week high of $2.95 and 227% above the low of $0.2600 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1190 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Next10 Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Saia, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Next10 Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $0.8500, calculated fair value $0.1190 (−86%), Quality Score 25/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXTN calculated?
We run Next10 Inc through 3 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.1190 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Next10 Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was $0.8500. Our model-based fair value is $0.1190, about 86% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Next10 Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1615). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Next10 Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The market capitalisation of Next10 Inc is $67.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Earnings per share at Next10 Inc are $−32.71. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Next10 Inc is −545% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Next10 Inc is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The operating margin of Next10 Inc is −3,927% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Revenue at Next10 Inc is growing −75.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −80.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Next10 Inc (NXTN) generate?
The free cash flow of Next10 Inc is −$119K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Next10 Inc (NXTN) carry?
The net debt of Next10 Inc is $3.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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