Next10 Inc (NXTN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Next10 Inc $0.12, price $0.76, upside -84.3%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0070 – $12.00 · fair‑value band $0.0935 – $0.1615 · the $0.7600 price screens above the $0.1190 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Next10, Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of security systems for the cargo transportation industry primarily in the United States and Canada.
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Next10, Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of security systems for the cargo transportation industry primarily in the United States and Canada. The company offers "Bulldog Online Security Systems' (BOSS), which is designed to prevent cargo theft from cargo containers, tractor-trailers, cargo vans, tanker trucks, storage year containers, and other cargo transportation and storage equipment. Its products alert onsite security personnel in the event of theft or tampering; alert the driver in the event someone attempts to access the cargo; and monitors multiple roll-up and sliding doors, prevents unauthorized entry and intrusion, and alert the driver through a mobile receiver a thief attempt to enter, move, or remove items from the delivery vehicle. The company's BOSS line of products primarily include The Yard BOSS, The Road BOSS, The Tanker BOSS, Bulldogs BOSS Tracker, and Mini BOSS System. It offers its products to retail, pharmaceutical, high technology, and government markets. The company was formerly known as Bulldog Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to Next10, Inc. on March 25, 2011. Next10, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Placentia, California.
Stock analysis
Next10 Inc (NXTN) currently trades at $0.7600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1190, implying the stock looks roughly 538.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.1800 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.7600 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1100, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0935 (bear) to $0.1615 (bull), the price of $0.7600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Next10 Inc reported revenue of $219K in FY2025 versus $28.5M in FY2021, a compound −70.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$489K in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −84%, NXTN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0935Fair Value $0.1190Bull $0.1615
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−98.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−80.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−53.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
’05
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.6% (2020) → −209.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 46 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−104.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−75.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
P/B5.32× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Next10 Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXTN
Frequently asked questions
Is Next10 Inc (NXTN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1190 versus a price of $0.7600, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXTN?
Our model-based fair value for Next10 Inc is $0.1190 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7600.
What is the quality score of NXTN?
Next10 Inc has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1190 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0935, optimistic scenario $0.1615. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Next10 Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1190, about −84% upside versus a price of $0.7600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0935, optimistic scenario $0.1615. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Next10 Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $205K (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Next10 Inc it is $0.1190 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.7600. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Next10 Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NXTN trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.7600, fair value $0.1190, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXTN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1190). For Next10 Inc the two are $0.6410 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Next10 Inc worth?
The market values Next10 Inc at about $169M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.7600; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1190 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXTN?
Our models span a range for Next10 Inc: cautious scenario $0.0935, base $0.1190, optimistic $0.1615 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.7600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is NXTN from its 52-week high?
Next10 Inc trades at $0.7600, about 74% below its 52-week high of $2.95 and 52% above the low of $0.5001 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1190 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Next10 Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, TFI International Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Next10 Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.7600, calculated fair value $0.1190 (−84%), Quality Score 25/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXTN calculated?
We run Next10 Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1190, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Next10 Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.7600. Our model-based fair value is $0.1190, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Next10 Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1615). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Next10 Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The market capitalisation of Next10 Inc is $169M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Earnings per share at Next10 Inc are $−80.00. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Next10 Inc is −545% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Next10 Inc is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
The operating margin of Next10 Inc is −3,927% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Next10 Inc (NXTN)?
Revenue at Next10 Inc is growing −75.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −80.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Next10 Inc (NXTN) generate?
The free cash flow of Next10 Inc is −$119K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Next10 Inc (NXTN) carry?
The net debt of Next10 Inc is $3.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026