Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock ARS 1,017, price ARS 695, upside +46.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 22.00 ARS – 1,197 ARS · fair‑value band 876.00 ARS – 1,481 ARS · the 695.00 ARS price screens below the 1,017 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. is involved in the construction, improvement, repair, conservation, expansion, remodeling, maintenance, administration, and operation of the Western highway in Argentina. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) currently trades at 695.00 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,017 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 32% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4,768 ARS per share, and 15 of the 16 models we run sit above the 695.00 ARS price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 845.28 ARS, and 1 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 876.00 ARS (bear) to 1,481 ARS (bull), the price of 695.00 ARS sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA reported revenue of 94.8B ARS in FY2025 versus 5.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +102.4%/yr. Reported net income was 36.9B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 111B ARS (≈ $72.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 4.13 · EPS (TTM) 70.00 ARS · Net margin 39.0% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −12.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 46%, OEST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear876.00 ARSFair Value 1,017 ARSBull1,481 ARS
Price 695.00 ARS · Upside +46.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (60.22 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+103.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+98.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +61.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → −13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about −3.2% a year for the price.
Compare Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 61 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+46.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.1% · Below median
Return on assets12.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−12.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)10.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.64× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.19× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.2× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OEST
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,017 ARS versus a price of 695.00 ARS, about +46% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OEST?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 1,017 ARS (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 695.00 ARS.
What is the quality score of OEST?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,017 ARS (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 876.00 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,481 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,017 ARS, about +46% upside versus a price of 695.00 ARS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 876.00 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,481 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 93.2B ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 22.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +98.7 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OEST use?
Our models discount Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA at 22.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA that is +10.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (22.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA grew +98.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (+10.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.28 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (22.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA it is 1,017 ARS per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 695.00 ARS. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, OEST trades below its calculated fair value: price 695.00 ARS, fair value 1,017 ARS, a gap of about +46% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OEST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (695.00 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,017 ARS). For Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA the two are 322.32 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA worth?
The market values Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA at about 111B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 695.00 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,017 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OEST?
Our models span a range for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA: cautious scenario 876.00 ARS, base 1,017 ARS, optimistic 1,481 ARS per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 695.00 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OEST?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,017 ARS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 4.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 5.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OEST from its 52-week high?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA trades at 695.00 ARS, about 32% below its 52-week high of 1,025 ARS and 2% above the low of 682.00 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,017 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 695.00 ARS, calculated fair value 1,017 ARS (+46%), Quality Score 55/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OEST calculated?
We run Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1,017 ARS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA currently trades 32% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 695.00 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,017 ARS, about +46% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (876.00 ARS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 111B ARS (≈ $72.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 4.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA are 70.00 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The net margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 39.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The operating margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is −12.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Revenue at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +103%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA are growing −46.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Nov 9, 2026