Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA ARS 1,017, price ARS 772, upside +31.8%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.90 ARS – 1,197 ARS · fair‑value band 860.13 ARS – 1,481 ARS · the 772.00 ARS price screens below the 1,017 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. is involved in the construction, improvement, repair, conservation, expansion, remodeling, maintenance, administration, and operation of the Western highway in Argentina. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) currently trades at 772.00 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,017 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 8,080 ARS per share, and 17 of the 18 models we run sit above the 772.00 ARS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 723.06 ARS, and 1 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 860.13 ARS (bear) to 1,481 ARS (bull), the price of 772.00 ARS sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA reported revenue of 94.8B ARS in FY2025 versus 5.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +102.4%/yr. Reported net income was 36.9B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 124B ARS (≈ $81.0M) · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 2.70 · EPS (TTM) 99.99 ARS · Net margin 39.0% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin −25.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 32%, OEST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 860.13 ARSFair Value 1,017 ARSBull 1,481 ARS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (73.69 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+103.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+98.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +61.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → −13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about −0.7% a year for the price.
Compare Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 68 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+32% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets−4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−26% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)6.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.72× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OEST
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,017 ARS versus a price of 772.00 ARS, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OEST?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 1,017 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 772.00 ARS.
What is the quality score of OEST?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,017 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario 860.13 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,481 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,017 ARS, about +32% upside versus a price of 772.00 ARS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 860.13 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,481 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 93.9B ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA would have to grow free cash flow by +13.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 22.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +98.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OEST use?
Our models discount Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA at 22.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA that is +13.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (22.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA grew +98.7 % a year. The price currently implies +13.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (+13.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.05 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (22.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA it is 1,017 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 772.00 ARS. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OEST trades below its calculated fair value: price 772.00 ARS, fair value 1,017 ARS, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OEST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (772.00 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,017 ARS). For Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA the two are 245.32 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA worth?
The market values Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA at about 124B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 772.00 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,017 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OEST?
Our models span a range for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA: cautious scenario 860.13 ARS, base 1,017 ARS, optimistic 1,481 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 772.00 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OEST?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,017 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OEST from its 52-week high?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA trades at 772.00 ARS, about 25% below its 52-week high of 1,025 ARS and 75% above the low of 440.00 ARS (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,017 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 772.00 ARS, calculated fair value 1,017 ARS (+32%), Quality Score 54/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OEST calculated?
We run Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,017 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 772.00 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,017 ARS, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (860.13 ARS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 124B ARS (≈ $81.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 2.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA are 99.99 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The net margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 39.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
The operating margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is −25.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Revenue at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA is growing −3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +103%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA (OEST)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Concesionario del Oeste SA are growing +30.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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