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Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A (OEST) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AR · Market cap 111B ARS

GC Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A OEST · BA
Price721.00 ARS
Fair Value1,185 ARS
Upside+64.4%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range 888.83 ARS – 2,181 ARS Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from 2,881 ARS to 1,185 ARS (−58.9%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 64% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (888.83 ARS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (888.83 ARS to 2,181 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,197 ARS 21.90 ARS Fair Value 1,185 ARS Feb 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.90 ARS – 1,197 ARS · fair‑value band 888.83 ARS – 2,181 ARS · the 721.00 ARS price screens below the 1,185 ARS fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A (OEST) currently trades at 721.00 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,185 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A generated revenue of 93.9B ARS at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 6.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 888.83 ARS (bear case) to 2,181 ARS (bull case); at 721.00 ARS, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 64%, OEST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,435 ARS 2,765 ARS 4,945 ARS 80
Residual Income 1,631 ARS 2,375 ARS 16,395 ARS 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,183 ARS 2,013 ARS 3,751 ARS 74
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,521 ARS 2,344 ARS 4,967 ARS 38
Owner Earnings 3,744 ARS 8,412 ARS 18,211 ARS 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,082 ARS 1,770 ARS 3,205 ARS 39
5Y P/E Exit 3,224 ARS 7,679 ARS 13,851 ARS 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,194 ARS 2,423 ARS 3,175 ARS 36
10Y P/E Exit 2,791 ARS 7,036 ARS 14,245 ARS 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,570 ARS 10,948 ARS 15,364 ARS 54
Lynch FV 5,656 ARS 8,080 ARS 10,504 ARS 50
PEG = 1.0 5,656 ARS 8,080 ARS 10,504 ARS 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 33.92 ARS 70.53 ARS 111.88 ARS 70
DDM Multi-Stage 33.92 ARS 59.47 ARS 74.02 ARS 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3,636 ARS 4,848 ARS 6,060 ARS 63
P/S Multiple 888.83 ARS 1,185 ARS 1,481 ARS 58
P/B Multiple 2,944 ARS 3,925 ARS 4,906 ARS 55
EV/Revenue 831.48 ARS 1,151 ARS 1,471 ARS 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 539.60 ARS 723.06 ARS 1,079 ARS 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,435 ARS 2,765 ARS 4,945 ARS 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,183 ARS 2,013 ARS 3,751 ARS 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,631 ARS 2,375 ARS 16,395 ARS 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 7,398 ARS 10,569 ARS 13,740 ARS 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10,569 ARS) versus Dividend Discount (59.47 ARS). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 93.9B ARS
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.5%
Net margin 18.0%
Return on equity 11.9%
Free cash flow 13.7B ARS FY2025
P/E ratio 6.9
More key figures
Operating margin -25.6%
EPS (TTM) 99.99 ARS
EPS growth (YoY) +3,093%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. is involved in the construction, improvement, repair, conservation, expansion, remodeling, maintenance, administration, and operation of the Western highway in Argentina. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A reported revenue of 94.8B ARS in FY2025 versus 5.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +102.4%/yr. Reported net income was 36.9B ARS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
94.8B ARS
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+103.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+98.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.6%
Revenue +102.4%/yr
FY21 5.6B ARS
FY22 11.3B ARS
FY23 63.8B ARS
FY24 88.8B ARS
FY25 94.8B ARS
Net income
FY21 −463M ARS
FY22 1.3B ARS
FY23 60.7B ARS
FY24 −56.0B ARS
FY25 36.9B ARS

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OEST

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +64% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 12
PAST 48 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 78

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A (OEST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,185 ARS versus a price of 721.00 ARS, about +64% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OEST?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A is 1,185 ARS (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 721.00 ARS.
What is the quality score of OEST?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A (OEST)?
Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 93.9B ARS (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OEST?
The net profit margin of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A is about 18.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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