O-I Glass Inc (OI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of O-I Glass Inc stock $15.51, price $5.17, upside +200.0%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.12 – $23.44 · fair‑value band $3.77 – $27.76 · the $5.17 price screens below the $15.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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O-I Glass, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass containers to food and beverage manufacturers in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. The company produces glass containers for alcoholic beverages, including beer, flavored malt beverages, spirits, and wine.
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It is also involved in the production of glass packaging for various food items, soft drinks, teas, juices, and pharmaceuticals. In addition, the company offers glass containers in a range of sizes, shapes, and colors.
It sells its products directly to customers under annual or multi-year supply agreements, as well as through distributors. The company was formerly known as Owens-Illinois, Inc. and changed its name to O-I Glass, Inc. in December 2019.
O-I Glass, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Perrysburg, Ohio.
Stock analysis
O-I Glass Inc (OI) currently trades at $5.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.51, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $30.08 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $5.17 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $9.39, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $3.77 (bear) to $27.76 (bull), the price of $5.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
O-I Glass Inc reported revenue of $6.4B in FY2025 versus $6.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$129M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $791M Small · P/E ex one-offs 3.2 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) $−7.80 · Net margin −18.9% · Return on equity −117% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) $6.4B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 200%, OI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$3.77Fair Value $15.51Bull$27.76
Price $5.17 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
BuyRandolph L BurnsSVP, Chief Admin & Sus Officer11,000 shares at $9.32$102,520May 8, 2026
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.1% (2020) → 9.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.0% a year for the price and −1.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−18.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.74× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.61× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.51 versus a price of $5.17, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OI?
Our model-based fair value for O-I Glass Inc is $15.51 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.17.
What is the quality score of OI?
O-I Glass Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.51 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.77, optimistic scenario $27.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the O-I Glass Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.51, about +200% upside versus a price of $5.17 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.77, optimistic scenario $27.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
O-I Glass Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, O-I Glass Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +18.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.1 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OI use?
Our models discount O-I Glass Inc at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For O-I Glass Inc that is +18.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has O-I Glass Inc (OI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at O-I Glass Inc grew +1.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of O-I Glass Inc (OI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into O-I Glass Inc (+18.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.23 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow O-I Glass Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For O-I Glass Inc it is $15.51 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $5.17. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is O-I Glass Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, OI trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.17, fair value $15.51, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.51). For O-I Glass Inc the two are $10.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is O-I Glass Inc worth?
The market values O-I Glass Inc at about $791M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $5.17; our models calculate a fair value of $15.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OI?
Our models span a range for O-I Glass Inc: cautious scenario $3.77, base $15.51, optimistic $27.76 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $5.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of OI?
The PEG ratio of O-I Glass Inc is 0.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
Balance-sheet figures for O-I Glass Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −116.7%, debt of 3.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OI from its 52-week high?
O-I Glass Inc trades at $5.17, about 69% below its 52-week high of $16.63 and 1% above the low of $5.12 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to O-I Glass Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is O-I Glass Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $5.17, calculated fair value $15.51 (+200%), Quality Score 40/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OI calculated?
We run O-I Glass Inc through 12 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $15.51 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. O-I Glass Inc currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.17. Our model-based fair value is $15.51, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with O-I Glass Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($3.77 to $27.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of O-I Glass Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
The market capitalisation of O-I Glass Inc is $791M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of O-I Glass Inc (OI) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of O-I Glass Inc is 3.2 (fiscal year 2025, the reported result was a loss, median at FY-end 11.2 (8 FY)).
What is the P/S ratio of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of O-I Glass Inc is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
Earnings per share at O-I Glass Inc are $−7.80. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
The net margin of O-I Glass Inc is −18.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of O-I Glass Inc is −117% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of O-I Glass Inc is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
Revenue at O-I Glass Inc is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at O-I Glass Inc (OI)?
Earnings per share at O-I Glass Inc are growing −47.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does O-I Glass Inc (OI) carry?
The net debt of O-I Glass Inc is $4.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 25.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026