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Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock TRY 26.13, price TRY 16.33, upside +60.0%, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials TR · ISIN TRAPETKM91E0

PP Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS

PETKM · IS
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 26.13 TRY · Strongly undervalued (38%)
Low debt
Revenue last quarter +44% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +49.0 %/yr in TRY)
Quality 27/100
Loss-making · -0.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

27.14 TRY 5.64 TRY Fair Value 26.13 TRY Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.64 TRY – 27.14 TRY · fair‑value band 19.49 TRY – 38.99 TRY · the 16.33 TRY price screens below the 26.13 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Petkim Petrokimya Holding Anonim Sirketi operates as a petrochemical company in Turkey. It operates through the Petrochemical and Port segments.

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The company offers thermoplastics, such as low density polyethylene, high density polyethylene, polypropylene, masterbatches, and polyvinyl chloride; fiber raw materials, including acrylonitrile, mono-ethylene glycol, and pure terephthalic acid; aromatics, such as benzene, paraxylene, orthoxylene, and toluene; olefins comprising polymer and chemical purity propylene, and ethylene; and ACN, aromatic, LDPE, EO/EG, ethylene, chlor alkali, plastic processing, PA, PP, PTA, PVC, VCM, and HDPE plants products.

Its products are used in plastics, chemicals, packaging, pipes, paints, construction, agriculture, automotive, electronics, textiles, pharmaceuticals, detergents, and cosmetics industries. The company was founded in 1965 and is based in Istanbul, Türkiye.

Petkim Petrokimya Holding Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Socar Turkey Petrokimya AS.

Stock analysis

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) currently trades at 16.33 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.13 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 19.49 TRY (bear) to 38.99 TRY (bull), the price of 16.33 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2019: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2019.

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS reported revenue of 89.1B TRL in FY2025 versus 28.7B TRL in FY2021, a compound +32.7%/yr. Reported net income was −10.2B TRL in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 41.4B TRY (≈ $826M) Small · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) −0.9000 TRY · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −8.3% · Revenue (TTM) 117B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 60%, PETKM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 19.49 TRY Fair Value 26.13 TRY Bull 38.99 TRY
Price 16.33 TRY · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 12.21 TRY 16.37 TRY 24.43 TRY 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.21 TRY 16.37 TRY 24.43 TRY 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 32
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 26
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 66
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2019: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2019.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2020) → −11.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 336 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −8.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 44.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.65× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.24× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 232,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +153% vs PETKM
Dow Inc DOW $31.40 $41.88 +33% vs PETKM
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.62 ¥19.26 +16% vs PETKM
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥21.24 ¥22.31 +5% vs PETKM
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 48.06 SAR 36.26 SAR −25% vs PETKM
BASF SE BAS €54.28 €38.46 −29% vs PETKM
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 ¥10.41 ¥6.28 −40% vs PETKM
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥32.32 ¥19.31 −40% vs PETKM
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 62.70 TWD 35.56 TWD −43% vs PETKM
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥66.38 ¥17.47 −74% vs PETKM

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Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PETKM

Frequently asked questions

Is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 26.13 TRY versus a price of 16.33 TRY, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PETKM?
Our model-based fair value for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 26.13 TRY (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.33 TRY.
What is the quality score of PETKM?
Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 26.13 TRY (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 19.49 TRY, optimistic scenario 38.99 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 26.13 TRY, about +60% upside versus a price of 16.33 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 19.49 TRY, optimistic scenario 38.99 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 117B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS it is 26.13 TRY per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 16.33 TRY. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, PETKM trades below its calculated fair value: price 16.33 TRY, fair value 26.13 TRY, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PETKM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.33 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (26.13 TRY). For Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS the two are 9.80 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS worth?
The market values Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS at about 41.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 16.33 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 26.13 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PETKM?
Our models span a range for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS: cautious scenario 19.49 TRY, base 26.13 TRY, optimistic 38.99 TRY per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 16.33 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PETKM?
The PEG ratio of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 1.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −1.1%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PETKM from its 52-week high?
Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS trades at 16.33 TRY, about 40% below its 52-week high of 27.14 TRY and 1% above the low of 16.22 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 26.13 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 16.33 TRY, calculated fair value 26.13 TRY (+60%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PETKM calculated?
We run Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 26.13 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 16.33 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 26.13 TRY, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (19.49 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (19.49 TRY to 38.99 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The market capitalisation of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 41.4B TRY (≈ $826M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Earnings per share at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS are −0.9000 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The net margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The operating margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Revenue at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is growing +44.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Earnings per share at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS are growing +11.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) generate?
The free cash flow of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −11.7B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) carry?
The net debt of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 46.5B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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