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Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS TRY 16.37, price TRY 20.92, upside -21.8%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · TR · ISIN TRAPETKM91E0

PP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS

PETKM · IS

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 16.37 TRY · Overvalued (−22%)
!Quality 24/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +49.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

27.14 TRY 5.23 TRY Fair Value 16.37 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.23 TRY – 27.14 TRY · fair‑value band 12.21 TRY – 24.43 TRY · the 20.92 TRY price screens above the 16.37 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Petkim Petrokimya Holding Anonim Sirketi operates as a petrochemical company in Turkey. It operates through the Petrochemical and Port segments.

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Petkim Petrokimya Holding Anonim Sirketi operates as a petrochemical company in Turkey. It operates through the Petrochemical and Port segments. The company offers thermoplastics, such as low density polyethylene, high density polyethylene, polypropylene, masterbatches, and polyvinyl chloride; fiber raw materials, including acrylonitrile, mono-ethylene glycol, and pure terephthalic acid; aromatics, such as benzene, paraxylene, orthoxylene, and toluene; olefins comprising polymer and chemical purity propylene, and ethylene; and ACN, aromatic, LDPE, EO/EG, ethylene, chlor alkali, plastic processing, PA, PP, PTA, PVC, VCM, and HDPE plants products. Its products are used in plastics, chemicals, packaging, pipes, paints, construction, agriculture, automotive, electronics, textiles, pharmaceuticals, detergents, and cosmetics industries. The company was founded in 1965 and is based in Istanbul, Türkiye. Petkim Petrokimya Holding Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Socar Turkey Petrokimya AS.

Stock analysis

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) currently trades at 20.92 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.37 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 12.21 TRY (bear) to 24.43 TRY (bull), the price of 20.92 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS reported revenue of 89.1B TRL in FY2025 versus 28.7B TRL in FY2021, a compound +32.7%/yr. Reported net income was −10.2B TRL in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 53.0B TRY (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) −2.59 TRY · Net margin −11.5% · Return on equity −10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −11.1% · Revenue (TTM) 92.9B TRY.

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −22%, PETKM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 12.21 TRY Fair Value 16.37 TRY Bull 24.43 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 12.62 TRY 16.91 TRY 25.24 TRY 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.62 TRY 16.91 TRY 25.24 TRY 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +34.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2020) → −11.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PETKM screens 28% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 354 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.24× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)84 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.20 $21.03 −25%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥46.39 ¥16.17 −65%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,565 IDR 1,589 IDR +2%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%

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Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS · Fair Value
16.37 TRY −28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PETKM

Frequently asked questions

Is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.37 TRY versus a price of 20.92 TRY, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PETKM?
Our model-based fair value for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 16.37 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.92 TRY.
What is the quality score of PETKM?
Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.37 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 24.43 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.37 TRY, about −22% upside versus a price of 20.92 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 24.43 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 92.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS it is 16.37 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 20.92 TRY. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PETKM trades above its calculated fair value: price 20.92 TRY, fair value 16.37 TRY, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PETKM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.92 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.37 TRY). For Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS the two are 4.55 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS worth?
The market values Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS at about 53.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 20.92 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 16.37 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PETKM?
Our models span a range for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS: cautious scenario 12.21 TRY, base 16.37 TRY, optimistic 24.43 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 20.92 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PETKM?
The PEG ratio of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 1.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.3%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PETKM from its 52-week high?
Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS trades at 20.92 TRY, about 25% below its 52-week high of 28.06 TRY and 30% above the low of 16.12 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.37 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Zhejiang Juhua Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 20.92 TRY, calculated fair value 16.37 TRY (−22%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PETKM calculated?
We run Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.37 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 20.92 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 16.37 TRY, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS right now?
Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (12.21 TRY to 24.43 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The market capitalisation of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 53.0B TRY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Earnings per share at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS are −2.59 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The net margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −11.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
The operating margin of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Revenue at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is growing +16.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM)?
Earnings per share at Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS are growing +11.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) generate?
The free cash flow of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is −11.7B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS (PETKM) carry?
The net debt of Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS is 46.5B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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