Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Park Ohio Holdings Corp stock $25.94, price $43.39, that is 40.2% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.57 – $52.51 · fair‑value band $10.74 – $42.45 · the $43.39 price screens above the $25.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components in the United States, Europe, Asia, Mexico, Canada, and internationally.
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The company operates through three segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly Components, and Engineered Products.
The Supply Technologies segment offers Total Supply Management, a solution that manages aspects of supplying production parts and materials, such as engineering and design support, part usage and cost analysis, supplier selection, quality assurance, bar coding, product packaging and tracking, just-in-time and point-of-use delivery, electronic billing services, and ongoing technical support.
This segment also provides production components, including valves, fuel hose assemblies, electro-mechanical hardware, labels, fittings, and steering components; and precision cold-formed and cold-extruded fasteners, and locknuts, as well as nuts, bolts, and wheel hardware under the SPAC brand.
The Assembly Components segment offers high pressure direct fuel injection fuel rails and pipes; fuel filler pipes; plastic and rubber assemblies; Turbo Charging and Turbo Coolant hoses; and design engineering, machining, and parts assembly value-added services.
The Engineered Products segment provides field services, induction heating and melting systems, pipe threading systems, and forged and machined products for the ferrous and non-ferrous metals, silicon, coatings, forging, foundry, automotive, and construction equipment industries.
This segment also engineers and installs mechanical forging presses; sells spare parts, machine, induction harden, and surface finish crankshafts and camshafts for use in locomotives; and forge aerospace and defense structural components comprising landing gears and struts, and railcar center plate and draft lug rail products.
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.
Stock analysis
Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) currently trades at $43.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.94, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $33.07 per share, and 3 of the 20 models we run sit above the $43.39 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $6.29, and 17 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $10.74 (bear) to $42.45 (bull), the price of $43.39 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Park Ohio Holdings Corp reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $24.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $616M Small · P/E ratio 22.4 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) $1.94 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 134% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −40%, PKOH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$10.74Fair Value $25.94Bull$42.45
Price $43.39 · Downside -40.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.23 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors sold shares worth $4.4M and none bought.
SaleRobert D VilsackSecretary & CLO10× since Jun 26, 2026: 58,972 shares, avg. $46.44$2.7MOct 1, 2026
SaleJames W WertDirector4× since Sep 9, 2026: 10,000 shares, avg. $46.71$467,140Sep 24, 2026
SaleHoward W Hanna IVDirector4× since Mar 16, 2026: 11,450 shares, avg. $36.29$415,499Aug 20, 2026
SalePatrick W FogartyVP & CFO12,000 shares at $48.24$578,927Aug 12, 2026
SaleJohn D GrampaDirector4,844 shares at $36.23$175,503Jun 23, 2026
SalePatrick Auletta VDirector5,825 shares at $30.66$178,595May 11, 2026
SaleRonna RomneyDirector2× since Dec 2, 2025: 4,975 shares, avg. $21.99$109,380Mar 12, 2026
BuyAndrew C ClarkeDirector600 shares at $19.75$11,850Nov 12, 2025
Plus 21 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.7% vs −7.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.9% a year for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−40.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)22.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.61× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.37× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA9.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.01× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)50· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)19· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.94 versus a price of $43.39, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PKOH?
Our model-based fair value for Park Ohio Holdings Corp is $25.94 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $43.39.
What is the quality score of PKOH?
Park Ohio Holdings Corp has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.94 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.74, optimistic scenario $42.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Park Ohio Holdings Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.94, about 40% lower versus a price of $43.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.74, optimistic scenario $42.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Park Ohio Holdings Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Park Ohio Holdings Corp pay a dividend?
Park Ohio Holdings Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 1.15% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Park Ohio Holdings Corp pays a dividend of $0.5 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.2%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 13, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2014. The payout ratio is 23.5% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 25.8%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.14 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Park Ohio Holdings Corp would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.8 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PKOH use?
Our models discount Park Ohio Holdings Corp at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Park Ohio Holdings Corp that is more than 80 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Park Ohio Holdings Corp grew +6.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of more than 80 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Park Ohio Holdings Corp (more than 80 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.16 %: that much free cash flow Park Ohio Holdings Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Park Ohio Holdings Corp it is $25.94 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $43.39. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Park Ohio Holdings Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, PKOH trades above its calculated fair value: price $43.39, fair value $25.94, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PKOH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($43.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.94). For Park Ohio Holdings Corp the two are $17.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Park Ohio Holdings Corp worth?
The market values Park Ohio Holdings Corp at about $616M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $43.39; our models calculate a fair value of $25.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PKOH?
Our models span a range for Park Ohio Holdings Corp: cautious scenario $10.74, base $25.94, optimistic $42.45 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $43.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PKOH?
Park Ohio Holdings Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.4 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.94 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 22.4 (reported for FY2025: 24.5). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 10.8. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
What is the PEG ratio of PKOH?
The PEG ratio of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 1.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Park Ohio Holdings Corp (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 1.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PKOH from its 52-week high?
Park Ohio Holdings Corp trades at $43.39, about 17% below its 52-week high of $52.51 and 134% above the low of $18.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Park Ohio Holdings Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Park Ohio Holdings Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $43.39, calculated fair value $25.94 (−40%), Quality Score 40/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PKOH calculated?
We run Park Ohio Holdings Corp through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $25.94 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Park Ohio Holdings Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $43.39. Our model-based fair value is $25.94, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Park Ohio Holdings Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($10.74 to $42.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) come from?
Earnings per share at Park Ohio Holdings Corp grew −7.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.2 %, EBIT margin −2.5 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Park Ohio Holdings Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The market capitalisation of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is $616M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Earnings per share at Park Ohio Holdings Corp are $1.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The dividend yield of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 1.2% (payout 23.5%, on adjusted earnings, reported 25.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The net margin of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
The operating margin of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Revenue at Park Ohio Holdings Corp is growing +10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH)?
Earnings per share at Park Ohio Holdings Corp are growing +30.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Park Ohio Holdings Corp (PKOH) carry?
The net debt of Park Ohio Holdings Corp is $626M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026