Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock IDR 471, price IDR 312, upside +51.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 165.85 IDR – 618.14 IDR · fair‑value band 441.27 IDR – 506.23 IDR · the 312.00 IDR price screens below the 471.45 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk provides integrated logistics and sea transportation solutions primarily for coal mining companies in Indonesia. It operates through Time Charter of Tugboats and Barges, Floating Loading Facilities, Property, and Motor Vessels segments.
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The company involved in the inter-island commodities transportation for coal, nickel, alumina, clinker cement, concentrated copper, and iron sand; and transshipment business, as well as transshipment and international shipping services.
It has 31 units of tugboats, 26 units of barges, 2 units of floating loading facilities, 2 units of floating crane, and 5 units of bulk carrier mother vessels. The company was formerly known as PT Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk and changed its name to PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk in February 2023.
PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) currently trades at 312.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 471.45 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 34% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 270.32 IDR per share, and 4 of the 20 models we run sit above the 312.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 59.23 IDR, and 16 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 441.27 IDR (bear) to 506.23 IDR (bull), the price of 312.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT reported revenue of $56.4M in FY2025 versus $109M in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $243K in FY2025, compounding −68.6%/yr from FY2021.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 51%, PSSI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear441.27 IDRFair Value 471.45 IDRBull506.23 IDR
Price 312.00 IDR · Upside +51.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF231.13 IDR243.58 IDR262.85 IDR82
Growth DCF232.16 IDR243.75 IDR260.43 IDR80
5Y EBITDA Exit368.46 IDR490.34 IDR651.47 IDR76
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF231.13 IDR243.58 IDR262.85 IDR82
5Y Revenue Exit226.75 IDR245.85 IDR273.50 IDR74
5Y EBITDA Exit368.46 IDR490.34 IDR651.47 IDR76
5Y P/E Exit208.63 IDR214.59 IDR221.99 IDR72
10Y Revenue Exit227.99 IDR239.76 IDR251.84 IDR68
10Y EBITDA Exit294.98 IDR355.61 IDR421.47 IDR70
10Y P/E Exit220.38 IDR224.95 IDR228.72 IDR65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd5.80 IDR7.09 IDR7.98 IDR67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM54.42 IDR57.54 IDR62.10 IDR69
DDM Multi-Stage54.42 IDR60.92 IDR68.84 IDR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple13.44 IDR17.92 IDR22.40 IDR63
P/S Multiple10.88 IDR14.51 IDR18.13 IDR58
P/B Multiple1,807 IDR2,410 IDR3,012 IDR55
EV/EBITDA569.15 IDR705.33 IDR841.50 IDR67
EV/Revenue214.97 IDR238.26 IDR261.55 IDR54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)150.22 IDR227.61 IDR284.51 IDR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF232.16 IDR243.75 IDR260.43 IDR80
Rev-Margin DCF226.75 IDR247.68 IDR273.87 IDR74
Economic Profit
Residual Income241.29 IDR270.32 IDR302.49 IDR76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E9.49 IDR13.56 IDR17.63 IDR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−52.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−55.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Per share before 2026divided by the spin-off factor 1.0333
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → −2%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.0% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+45.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−6.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)3.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−17.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 471.45 IDR versus a price of 312.00 IDR, about +51% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PSSI?
Our model-based fair value for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 471.45 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 312.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PSSI?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 471.45 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 441.27 IDR, optimistic scenario 506.23 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 471.45 IDR, about +51% upside versus a price of 312.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 441.27 IDR, optimistic scenario 506.23 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $50.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT pay a dividend?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT currently shows a dividend yield of 2.61% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT has a dividend yield of 2.6%.
What growth is priced into Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +18.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.8 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PSSI use?
Our models discount Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT that is +18.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT grew -3.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (+18.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.88 %: that much free cash flow Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT it is 471.45 IDR per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 312.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, PSSI trades below its calculated fair value: price 312.00 IDR, fair value 471.45 IDR, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSSI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (312.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (471.45 IDR). For Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT the two are 159.45 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT worth?
The market values Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT at about 1.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 312.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 471.45 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSSI?
Our models span a range for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT: cautious scenario 441.27 IDR, base 471.45 IDR, optimistic 506.23 IDR per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 312.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −2.1%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSSI from its 52-week high?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT trades at 312.00 IDR, about 39% below its 52-week high of 513.72 IDR and 31% above the low of 238.06 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 471.45 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 312.00 IDR, calculated fair value 471.45 IDR (+51%), Quality Score 50/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSSI calculated?
We run Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT through 20 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 471.45 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT currently trades 34% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 312.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 471.45 IDR, about +51% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (441.27 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (441.27 IDR to 506.23 IDR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The market capitalisation of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 1.8T IDR (≈ $99.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Earnings per share at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT are −9.49 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The dividend yield of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The net margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is −2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The operating margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Revenue at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is growing −17.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Earnings per share at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT are growing −51.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) hold?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT holds more cash than debt, $45.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026