Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT IDR 523, price IDR 348, upside +50.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 155.00 IDR – 638.42 IDR · fair‑value band 486.02 IDR – 523.26 IDR · the 348.00 IDR price screens below the 523.26 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk provides integrated logistics and sea transportation solutions primarily for coal mining companies in Indonesia. It operates through Time Charter of Tugboats and Barges, Floating Loading Facilities, Property, and Motor Vessels segments.
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PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk provides integrated logistics and sea transportation solutions primarily for coal mining companies in Indonesia. It operates through Time Charter of Tugboats and Barges, Floating Loading Facilities, Property, and Motor Vessels segments. The company involved in the inter-island commodities transportation for coal, nickel, alumina, clinker cement, concentrated copper, and iron sand; and transshipment business, as well as transshipment and international shipping services. It has 31 units of tugboats, 26 units of barges, 2 units of floating loading facilities, 2 units of floating crane, and 5 units of bulk carrier mother vessels. The company was formerly known as PT Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk and changed its name to PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk in February 2023. PT IMC Pelita Logistik Tbk was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) currently trades at 348.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 523.26 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 246.99 IDR per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the 348.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 123.50 IDR, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 486.02 IDR (bear) to 523.26 IDR (bull), the price of 348.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT reported revenue of $56.4M in FY2025 versus $109M in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $243K in FY2025, compounding −68.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.8T IDR (≈ $101M) · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity −0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% · Operating margin −10.9% · Revenue (TTM) $52.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) −29.5% · EPS growth (YoY) −51.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at 50%, PSSI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 486.02 IDRFair Value 523.26 IDRBull 523.26 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−55.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−55.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → −2%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.3% a year for the price.
Compare Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 235 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+51% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−30% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 523.26 IDR versus a price of 348.00 IDR, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PSSI?
Our model-based fair value for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 523.26 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 348.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PSSI?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 523.26 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 486.02 IDR, optimistic scenario 523.26 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 523.26 IDR, about +50% upside versus a price of 348.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 486.02 IDR, optimistic scenario 523.26 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $52.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +22.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PSSI use?
Our models discount Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT that is +22.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT grew -3.8 % a year. The price currently implies +22.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (+22.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.68 %: that much free cash flow Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT it is 523.26 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 348.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PSSI trades below its calculated fair value: price 348.00 IDR, fair value 523.26 IDR, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSSI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (348.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (523.26 IDR). For Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT the two are 175.26 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT worth?
The market values Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT at about 1.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 348.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 523.26 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSSI?
Our models span a range for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT: cautious scenario 486.02 IDR, base 523.26 IDR, optimistic 523.26 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 348.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.4%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSSI from its 52-week high?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT trades at 348.00 IDR, about 10% below its 52-week high of 387.69 IDR and 41% above the low of 246.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 523.26 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 348.00 IDR, calculated fair value 523.26 IDR (+50%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSSI calculated?
We run Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 523.26 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 348.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 523.26 IDR, about +50% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (486.02 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (486.02 IDR to 523.26 IDR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The market capitalisation of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 1.8T IDR (≈ $101M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The net margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
The operating margin of Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is −10.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Revenue at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT is growing −29.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI)?
Earnings per share at Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT are growing −51.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT (PSSI) hold?
Pelita Samudera Shipping Tbk PT holds more cash than debt, $45.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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