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Data-driven stock valuation

There (RHM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of There stock €324, price €1,035, that is 68.7% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials DE · ISIN DE0007030009

This is a secondary listing. View primary listing Rheinmetall AG (RHM.XETRA) →

T Thin data Oct 31, 2026

There

RHM · HA
Stretched Valuation

Our calculation puts a fair price 69% below what the stock costs today.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.9 %/yr in EUR)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 50/100
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin (FY2025)
1.1% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
Wide moat 67/100 · thin data
Fair value €324.21 · Strongly overvalued (−68.7%)
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€1,975 €72.46 Fair Value €324.21 Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €72.46 – €1,975 · fair‑value band €243.16 – €405.27 · the €1,035 price screens above the €324.21 fair value. As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Company profile

There is no Profile data available for RHM.HA.

Stock analysis

There (RHM) currently trades at €1,035, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €324.21, 68.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €548.45 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the €1,035 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €35.24, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €243.16 (bear) to €405.27 (bull), the price of €1,035 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

There reported revenue of €9.9B in FY2025 versus €5.7B in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was €696M in FY2025, compounding +24.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €3.5B Mid · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% · Free cash flow €1.4B · Net debt €912M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −69%, RHM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €243.16 Fair Value €324.21 Bull €405.27
Price €1,035 · Downside -68.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF €420.55 €736.35 €1,268 78
Growth DCF €416.02 €700.68 €1,161 76
Residual Income €104.72 €127.36 €175.42 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €420.55 €736.35 €1,268 78
Owner Earnings €288.68 €501.45 €859.77 74
5Y Revenue Exit €330.42 €548.45 €841.67 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €438.58 €772.42 €1,192 74
5Y P/E Exit €297.57 €480.42 €686.46 70
10Y Revenue Exit €349.04 €564.36 €889.67 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €428.28 €725.21 €1,178 67
10Y P/E Exit €336.69 €515.51 €762.11 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €103.15 €486.51 €668.97 64
Lynch FV €129.02 €184.31 €239.60 61
PEG = 1.0 €129.02 €184.31 €239.60 57
EPV €282.72 €324.79 €361.08 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €70.63 €140.74 €213.13 67
DDM Multi-Stage €70.63 €121.63 €148.57 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €238.92 €318.56 €398.20 63
P/S Multiple €193.41 €257.88 €322.36 58
P/B Multiple €177.50 €236.67 €295.83 55
EV/EBIT €453.10 €610.75 €768.41 66
EV/EBITDA €448.27 €604.32 €760.37 67
EV/Revenue €252.96 €369.89 €486.82 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €26.30 €35.24 €52.59 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €416.02 €700.68 €1,161 76
Rev-Margin DCF €330.42 €544.83 €823.51 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €104.72 €127.36 €175.42 76
ROIC Compounder €314.88 €403.67 €511.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €203.77 €291.09 €378.42 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 45
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 72
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 56
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 21
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 16
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 44
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 17%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.8% a year for the price.

RHM screens overvalued: fair value 69% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 239 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.82× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow 2.9× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.60× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
TransDigm Group TDG $1,147 $1,261 +10% vs RHM
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA $154.15 $169.57 +10% vs RHM
Thales S.A HO €232.00 €170.99 −26% vs RHM
General Dynamics Corporation GD $372.59 $274.19 −26% vs RHM
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $557.54 $382.98 −31% vs RHM
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $643.15 $439.21 −32% vs RHM
Airbus SE AIR €196.08 €112.14 −43% vs RHM
RTX Corporation RTX $199.80 $88.19 −56% vs RHM
General Electric Company GE $301.80 $92.26 −69% vs RHM
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $199.22 $52.65 −74% vs RHM

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Frequently asked questions

Is There (RHM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €324.21 versus a price of €1,035, about 69% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RHM?
Our model-based fair value for There is €324.21 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1,035.
What is the quality score of RHM?
There has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for There (RHM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €324.21 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €243.16, optimistic scenario €405.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the There stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €324.21, about 69% lower versus a price of €1,035 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €243.16, optimistic scenario €405.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does There pay a dividend?
There currently shows a dividend yield of 1.10% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 31, 2026).
What growth is priced into There (RHM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, There would have to grow free cash flow by +18.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.0 % per year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RHM use?
Our models discount There at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For There that is +18.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has There (RHM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at There grew +13.0 % a year. The price currently implies +18.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of There (RHM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into There (+18.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of There (RHM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.98 %: that much free cash flow There produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of There (RHM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For There it is €324.21 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of €1,035. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is There stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, RHM trades above its calculated fair value: price €1,035, fair value €324.21, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RHM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1,035); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€324.21). For There the two are €710.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is There worth?
The market values There at about €3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is €1,035; our models calculate a fair value of €324.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RHM?
Our models span a range for There: cautious scenario €243.16, base €324.21, optimistic €405.27 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price €1,035). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of RHM?
The PEG ratio of There is 0.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 31, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of There (RHM)?
Balance-sheet figures for There (as of Oct 31, 2026): debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RHM from its 52-week high?
There trades at €1,035, about 46% below its 52-week high of €1,910 and 12% above the low of €926.40 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €324.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to There?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is There stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price €1,035, calculated fair value €324.21 (−69%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RHM calculated?
We run There through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €324.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. There itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of There (RHM)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was €1,035. Our model-based fair value is €324.21, about 69% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with There right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€405.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of There

How large is the market capitalisation of There (RHM)?
The market capitalisation of There is €3.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the dividend yield of There (RHM)?
The dividend yield of There is 1.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of There (RHM)?
The net margin of There is 7.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of There (RHM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of There is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does There (RHM) carry?
The net debt of There is €912M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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