Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Republic Airways Holdings Inc stock $21.63, price $20.15, upside +7.4%, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.12 – $104.90 · fair‑value band $15.14 – $28.12 · the $20.15 price screens below the $21.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Republic Airways Holdings Inc. provides scheduled passenger services. The company operates a fleet of approximately 275 aircraft and offers scheduled passenger service with 1,300 daily flights to 130 cities across the United States, Canada, the Caribbean, and Mexico.
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Republic Airways Holdings Inc. was founded in 1974 and is based in Carmel, Indiana.
Stock analysis
Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET) currently trades at $20.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.63, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $45.71 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the $20.15 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $15.58, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.14 (bear) to $28.12 (bull), the price of $20.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Republic Airways Holdings Inc reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $504M in FY2021, a compound +35.1%/yr. Reported net income was $76.2M in FY2025, compounding +46.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $930M Small · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) $1.51 · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 12.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 7%, RJET screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$15.14Fair Value $21.63Bull$28.12
Price $20.15 · Upside +7.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.29 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV$13.91$17.90$21.2274
ROIC Compounder$13.91$17.90$21.2272
Residual Income$20.76$20.69$21.7971
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$11.07$39.47$53.1564
Lynch FV$9.29$13.26$17.2461
PEG = 1.0$9.29$13.26$17.2457
EPV$13.91$17.90$21.2274
Multiples
P/E Multiple$25.63$34.18$42.7263
P/S Multiple$20.75$27.67$34.5858
P/B Multiple$86.94$115.91$144.8955
EV/EBIT$35.36$54.91$74.4665
EV/EBITDA$47.86$71.57$95.2966
EV/Revenue$18.56$36.51$54.4551
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$12.88$17.26$25.7654
Economic Profit
Residual Income$20.76$20.69$21.7971
ROIC Compounder$13.91$17.90$21.2272
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$17.81$25.45$33.0867
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 22 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−30.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−30.6% vs −13.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 13%
Compare Republic Airways Holdings Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airlines · 52 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+7.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.5% · Below median
Return on assets2.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)12.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)34.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.67× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
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Is Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.63 versus a price of $20.15, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RJET?
Our model-based fair value for Republic Airways Holdings Inc is $21.63 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.15.
What is the quality score of RJET?
Republic Airways Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.63 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.14, optimistic scenario $28.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Republic Airways Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.63, about +7% upside versus a price of $20.15 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $15.14, optimistic scenario $28.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Republic Airways Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Republic Airways Holdings Inc it is $21.63 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $20.15. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Republic Airways Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, RJET trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.15, fair value $21.63, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RJET?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.63). For Republic Airways Holdings Inc the two are $1.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Republic Airways Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Republic Airways Holdings Inc at about $930M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $20.15; our models calculate a fair value of $21.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RJET?
Our models span a range for Republic Airways Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $15.14, base $21.63, optimistic $28.12 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $20.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RJET?
Republic Airways Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Republic Airways Holdings Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RJET from its 52-week high?
Republic Airways Holdings Inc trades at $20.15, about 19% below its 52-week high of $24.77 and 28% above the low of $15.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Republic Airways Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Delta Air Lines, Inc, United Airlines Holdings, Ryanair Holdings, InterGlobe Aviation Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Republic Airways Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $20.15, calculated fair value $21.63 (+7%), Quality Score 25/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RJET calculated?
We run Republic Airways Holdings Inc through 14 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $21.63 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Republic Airways Holdings Inc currently trades 7% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $20.15. Our model-based fair value is $21.63, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Republic Airways Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($15.14 to $28.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET) come from?
Earnings per share at Republic Airways Holdings Inc grew −9.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −8.4 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Republic Airways Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
The market capitalisation of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is $930M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Earnings per share at Republic Airways Holdings Inc are $1.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
The net margin of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is 4.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
The operating margin of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Revenue at Republic Airways Holdings Inc is growing +34.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET)?
Earnings per share at Republic Airways Holdings Inc are growing −88.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET) generate?
The free cash flow of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is −$88.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Republic Airways Holdings Inc (RJET) carry?
The net debt of Republic Airways Holdings Inc is $1.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 4, 2026