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Data-driven stock valuation

Sempra Energy (SRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sempra Energy stock $43.34, price $79.83, that is 45.7% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities US

SE Sempra Energy logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

Sempra Energy

SRE · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 46% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 16.8% net margin (TTM)
Quality 45/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +5.8 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
3.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 60/100 · thin data
Insiders sold $1.3M (6M)
Some data
Fair value $43.34 · Strongly overvalued (−45.7%)
Negative free cash flow
Negative coverage

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩California regulators could cut allowed returns
Watch Sempra Energy for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$98.22 $51.16 Fair Value $43.34 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $51.16 – $98.22 · fair‑value band $30.34 – $56.34 · the $79.83 price screens above the $43.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure.

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It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers. The Sempra California segment provides natural gas and electric services to Southern California and part of central California.

As of December 31, 2025, it offered electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles.

This segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas. As of December 31, 2025, it served a population of 21.3 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles.

The Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated electricity transmission and distribution utility business.

As of December 31, 2025, transmission system included approximately 18,418 circuit miles of transmission lines; 1,333 transmission and distribution substations; interconnection to 230 third-party generation facilities totaling 63,670 MW; and distribution system included more than 4.1 million points of delivery and consisted of 127,398 circuit miles of overhead and underground lines.

The Sempra Infrastructure segment develops, constructs, operates, and invests in energy infrastructure to help enable the access to cleaner energy in markets in the United States, Mexico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in May 2023.

Sempra was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Sempra Energy (SRE) currently trades at $79.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.34, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $47.76 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the $79.83 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $14.38, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $30.34 (bear) to $56.34 (bull), the price of $79.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sempra Energy reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $13.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $52.4B Large · P/E ratio 17.1 · P/S ratio 2.29 · EPS (TTM) $4.67 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 60 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −46%, SRE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $30.34 Fair Value $43.34 Bull $56.34
Price $79.83 · Downside -45.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.75 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $39.28 $41.09 $44.41 74
EPV n/a $3.34 $9.97 68
ROIC Compounder n/a $3.34 $9.97 65
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $19.10 $51.48 $67.40 63
Lynch FV $10.07 $14.38 $18.70 59
PEG = 1.0 $10.07 $14.38 $18.70 55
EPV n/a $3.34 $9.97 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.91 $56.26 $99.04 63
DDM Multi-Stage $24.91 $40.04 $57.47 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $37.93 $50.57 $63.21 63
P/S Multiple $35.82 $47.76 $59.70 58
P/B Multiple $60.76 $81.01 $101.27 55
EV/EBIT $0.4800 $19.13 $37.79 56
EV/EBITDA $11.22 $33.45 $55.69 62
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $12.66 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.50 $30.15 $45.01 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $39.28 $41.09 $44.41 74
ROIC Compounder n/a $3.34 $9.97 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $30.34 $43.34 $56.34 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 25
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 50
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 19
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 38
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 92
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 30
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 73
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.3M and none bought.

  • SaleCaroline Ann WinnExecutive Vice President2× since Nov 18, 2025: 14,000 shares, avg. $91.00$1.3MJun 17, 2026
  • SalePablo FerreroDirector2,600 shares at $89.53$232,778May 18, 2026
  • SaleDiana L DayChief Legal Counsel3,300 shares at $92.13$304,029May 14, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleJustin Christopher BirdExecutive Vice President1,128 shares at $96.69$109,066Apr 1, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleDyan Z. WoldVP, Controller and CAO2× since Nov 19, 2025: 3,049 shares, avg. $93.40$284,774Mar 16, 2026
  • BuyJennifer M KirkDirector1,000 shares at $93.44$93,440Mar 12, 2026
  • BuyRichard J MarkDirector2,692 shares at $93.30$251,164Mar 11, 2026
  • BuyCynthia J WarnerDirector2,500 shares at $92.95$232,375Mar 11, 2026
  • SaleKaren L SedgwickExecutive VP and CFO2× since Nov 24, 2025: 12,436 shares, avg. $92.40$1.1MMar 9, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleJeffrey W MartinChairman, CEO and President, Director53,111 shares at $88.39$4.7MJan 5, 202610b5-1 plan

Plus 1 more entries from the last 12 months.

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.3% vs 0.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 24%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

SRE screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: The business draws a moderate moat from regulated assets that support stable returns, while negative free cash flow and elevated debt remain the central constraint on flexibility.
Main risk: California regulators might reduce the allowed return on equity for Sempra's utilities amid affordability concerns, which could limit earnings growth from its rate base.
Bull case: Sempra could secure supportive rate cases in Texas and California while completing its shift to regulated assets, supporting steady earnings growth from infrastructure investments.
Bear case: Tight regulatory caps on returns in California combined with delays in Texas approvals could constrain cash flows from the rate base and slow the company's transition to a more stable model.
Sempra continues to advance the sale of a 45 percent stake in its infrastructure business to simplify operations and redirect capital toward regulated utilities. This shift aims to increase the share of earnings from stable US rate bases while reducing leverage and LNG-related complexity. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will the regulated focus deliver more predictable cash flows than the prior mixed model or simply cap growth potential?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 49 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside −45.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.7% · Below median
Return on assets 1.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 16.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 28.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −0.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.92× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 17.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 3.86× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.73× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 48
DIVIDEND (yield)65 · sector 82

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$12.12 A$11.45 −6% vs SRE
Engie SA ENGI €24.01 €20.64 −14% vs SRE
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €57.06 €43.47 −24% vs SRE
Enel SpA ENEL €9.77 €5.94 −39% vs SRE
EDP, S.A EDP €4.98 €2.67 −46% vs SRE
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP $37.81 $17.58 −54% vs SRE
E.ON SE EOAN €19.32 €8.96 −54% vs SRE
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €22.77 €10.28 −55% vs SRE
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €65.20 €21.11 −68% vs SRE
ACWA Power Company 2082 153.80 SAR 27.47 SAR −82% vs SRE

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Sempra Energy: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sempra Energy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRE

Frequently asked questions

Is Sempra Energy (SRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $43.34 versus a price of $79.83, about 46% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SRE?
Our model-based fair value for Sempra Energy is $43.34 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $79.83.
What is the quality score of SRE?
Sempra Energy has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $43.34 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $30.34, optimistic scenario $56.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sempra Energy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $43.34, about 46% lower versus a price of $79.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $30.34, optimistic scenario $56.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Sempra Energy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Sempra Energy pay a dividend?
Sempra Energy currently shows a dividend yield of 3.27% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sempra Energy it is $43.34 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $79.83. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sempra Energy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, SRE trades above its calculated fair value: price $79.83, fair value $43.34, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($79.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($43.34). For Sempra Energy the two are $36.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sempra Energy worth?
The market values Sempra Energy at about $52.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $79.83; our models calculate a fair value of $43.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SRE?
Our models span a range for Sempra Energy: cautious scenario $30.34, base $43.34, optimistic $56.34 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $79.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SRE?
Sempra Energy trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $43.34 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 21.5 (reported for FY2025: 28.4). Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.7, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 13.9.
What is the PEG ratio of SRE?
The PEG ratio of Sempra Energy is 0.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sempra Energy (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SRE from its 52-week high?
Sempra Energy trades at $79.83, about 19% below its 52-week high of $98.22 and 4% above the low of $76.89 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $43.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sempra Energy?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, E.ON SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sempra Energy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $79.83, calculated fair value $43.34 (−46%), Quality Score 45/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SRE calculated?
We run Sempra Energy through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $43.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Sempra Energy itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $79.83. Our model-based fair value is $43.34, about 46% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sempra Energy right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($56.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($30.34 to $56.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sempra Energy (SRE) come from?
Earnings per share at Sempra Energy grew +5.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.6 %, EBIT margin +2.2 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Sempra Energy

How large is the market capitalisation of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The market capitalisation of Sempra Energy is $52.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sempra Energy is 2.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Earnings per share at Sempra Energy are $4.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The dividend yield of Sempra Energy is 3.3% (payout 42.3%, on adjusted earnings, reported 55.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The net margin of Sempra Energy is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sempra Energy is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sempra Energy is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The operating margin of Sempra Energy is 28.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Revenue at Sempra Energy is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Earnings per share at Sempra Energy are growing +71.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sempra Energy (SRE) generate?
The free cash flow of Sempra Energy is −$6.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sempra Energy (SRE) carry?
The net debt of Sempra Energy is $36.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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