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STV Group plc (STVG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of STV Group plc stock £1.21, price £1.00, upside +21.0%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 3 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services GB · ISIN GB00B3CX3644

SG STV Group plc logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

STV Group plc

STVG · LSE
Speculative

The stock costs 17% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value £1.21 · Undervalued
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.6 %/yr in GBP)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Revenue last quarter 27% below a year ago.
Quality 34/100
Loss-making · -17.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£3.16 £0.9560 Fair Value £1.21 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.9560 – £3.16 · fair‑value band £0.5600 – £1.86 · the £1.00 price screens below the £1.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

STV Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces and broadcasts television programs in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Broadcast, Digital, and Studios segments. The company provides news, information, and entertainment and drama programs.

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It delivers its content on air, online, and on demand. The company provides internet services; and sells advertising airtime and space in its media. STV Group plc was founded in 1957 and is based in Glasgow, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

STV Group plc (STVG) currently trades at £1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 17% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: £0.5600 (bear) to £1.86 (bull), the price of £1.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

STV Group plc reported revenue of £177M in FY2025 versus £145M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£5.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap £46.0M Micro · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) £−0.5700 · Dividend yield 7.0% · Net margin −17.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −32.5% · Revenue (TTM) £153M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 21%, STVG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.5600 Fair Value £1.21 Bull £1.86
Price £1.00 · Upside +21.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA £0.5600 £1.21 £1.86 63
EV/EBIT n/a n/a £0.2800 61
EV/Revenue n/a n/a £0.0200 50
All 3 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a £0.2800 61
EV/EBITDA £0.5600 £1.21 £1.86 63
EV/Revenue n/a n/a £0.0200 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 7
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 74
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 21
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 87
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.3% (2019) → 2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 62 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +21.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −3.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −17.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −32.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −26.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 7.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.30× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)61 · sector 61
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 79

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEA €2.18 €4.87 +123% vs STVG
SES S.A SESG €4.50 €9.90 +120% vs STVG
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €11.30 €15.98 +41% vs STVG
Nexstar Media Group NXST $190.02 $209.02 +10% vs STVG
Sinclair, Inc SBGI $13.68 $14.49 +6% vs STVG
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹595.45 ₹586.58 −1% vs STVG
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥6.70 ¥4.26 −36% vs STVG
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.23 ¥1.72 −47% vs STVG
MBC Group 4072 17.36 SAR 8.97 SAR −48% vs STVG
Guizhou BC&TV Information Network CO.,LTD 600996 ¥6.50 ¥1.23 −81% vs STVG

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STV Group plc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "STV Group plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STVG

Frequently asked questions

Is STV Group plc (STVG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.21 versus a price of £1.00, about +21% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STVG?
Our model-based fair value for STV Group plc is £1.21 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.00.
What is the quality score of STVG?
STV Group plc has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for STV Group plc (STVG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.21 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.5600, optimistic scenario £1.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the STV Group plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.21, about +21% upside versus a price of £1.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.5600, optimistic scenario £1.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of STV Group plc (STVG)?
STV Group plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £153M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does STV Group plc pay a dividend?
STV Group plc currently shows a dividend yield of 7.00% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of STV Group plc (STVG)?
STV Group plc has a dividend yield of 7.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of STV Group plc (STVG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For STV Group plc it is £1.21 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of £1.00. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models in 1 family (Multiples).
Is STV Group plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, STVG trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.00, fair value £1.21, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STVG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.21). For STV Group plc the two are £0.2100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is STV Group plc worth?
The market values STV Group plc at about £46.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is £1.00; our models calculate a fair value of £1.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STVG?
Our models span a range for STV Group plc: cautious scenario £0.5600, base £1.21, optimistic £1.86 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price £1.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of STV Group plc (STVG)?
Balance-sheet figures for STV Group plc (as of Nov 7, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STVG from its 52-week high?
STV Group plc trades at £1.00, about 17% below its 52-week high of £1.20 and 5% above the low of £0.9560 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to STV Group plc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, Sun TV Network Limited, Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation, SES S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is STV Group plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price £1.00, calculated fair value £1.21 (+21%), Quality Score 34/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STVG calculated?
We run STV Group plc through 3 models from 1 family: Multiples. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.21 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. STV Group plc currently trades 17% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of STV Group plc (STVG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £1.00. Our model-based fair value is £1.21, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with STV Group plc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (£0.5600 to £1.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of STV Group plc

How large is the market capitalisation of STV Group plc (STVG)?
The market capitalisation of STV Group plc is £46.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of STV Group plc (STVG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of STV Group plc is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of STV Group plc (STVG)?
Earnings per share at STV Group plc are £−0.5700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of STV Group plc (STVG)?
The dividend yield of STV Group plc is 7.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of STV Group plc (STVG)?
The net margin of STV Group plc is −17.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of STV Group plc (STVG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of STV Group plc is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of STV Group plc (STVG)?
The operating margin of STV Group plc is −32.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at STV Group plc (STVG)?
Revenue at STV Group plc is growing −26.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at STV Group plc (STVG)?
Earnings per share at STV Group plc are growing +358% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does STV Group plc (STVG) generate?
The free cash flow of STV Group plc is −£200K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does STV Group plc (STVG) carry?
The net debt of STV Group plc is £63.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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