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STV Group (STVG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · GB · Market cap 49.0M GBX

SG STV Group STVG · LSE
Price£1.07
Fair Value£1.21
Upside+13.1%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.8% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range £0.5600 – £1.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (£0.5600 to £1.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from £0.5600 (bear) to £1.21 (bull), base £1.21. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 36/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£3.22 £0.9742 Fair Value £1.21 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.9742 – £3.22 · fair‑value band £0.5600 – £1.21 · the £1.07 price screens below the £1.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

STV Group (STVG) currently trades at £1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, STV Group generated revenue of £177M at a net margin of -2.8%. Revenue declined 11.0% year over year. Net debt stands at £63.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.5600 (bear case) to £1.21 (bull case); at £1.07, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 13%, STVG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM £0.5000 £0.5500 £0.6100 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.5000 £0.6000 £0.7100 61
EV/EBITDA £1.01 £1.66 £2.30 54
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.5000 £0.5500 £0.6100 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.5000 £0.6000 £0.7100 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT £0.0600 £0.3900 £0.7200 53
EV/EBITDA £1.01 £1.66 £2.30 54
EV/Revenue £0.1400 £0.4600 43

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (£0.5500) versus Multiples (£0.3900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 177M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.0%
Net margin -2.8%
Free cash flow −200K GBX FY2025
Operating margin 3.7%
EPS (TTM) £-0.1100
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +358%
Net debt 63.4M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

STV Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces and broadcasts television programs in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Broadcast, Digital, and Studios segments. The company provides news, information, and entertainment and drama programs. It delivers its content on air, online, and on demand.

Full company description

STV Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces and broadcasts television programs in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Broadcast, Digital, and Studios segments. The company provides news, information, and entertainment and drama programs. It delivers its content on air, online, and on demand. The company provides internet services; and sells advertising airtime and space in its media. STV Group plc was founded in 1957 and is based in Glasgow, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

STV Group reported revenue of £177M in FY2025 versus £145M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£5.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£177M
Latest YoY
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 £145M
FY22 £138M
FY23 £168M
FY24 £188M
FY25 £177M
Net income
FY21 £19.4M
FY22 £17.5M
FY23 £4.5M
FY24 £10.8M
FY25 −£5.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "STV Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STVG

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 3
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $183.71 $78.52 -57%
SES S.A SESG €7.46 €15.46 +107%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 505.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +117%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.64 €5.38 +48%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.07 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹489.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.06 SAR 19.56 SAR -2%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.13 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 206.00 IDR 229.91 IDR +12%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹92.61 ₹53.22 -43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is STV Group (STVG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.21 versus a price of £1.07, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STVG?
Our model-based fair value for STV Group is £1.21 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.07.
What is the quality score of STVG?
STV Group has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of STV Group (STVG)?
STV Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £177M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STVG?
The net profit margin of STV Group is about -2.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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