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Data-driven stock valuation

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Silvaco Group, Inc. stock $5.75, price $7.45, that is 22.8% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology US

SG Silvaco Group, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Silvaco Group, Inc.

SVCO · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 23% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +48% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr in USD)
Insiders bought $24,848 (6M) · sold $2.7M
Fair value $5.75 · Overvalued
Quality 32/100
Loss-making · -30.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 3/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$19.98 $3.23 Fair Value $5.75 May 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range $3.23 – $19.98 · fair‑value band $4.31 – $7.19 · the $7.45 price screens above the $5.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Silvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions in the United States and internationally.

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The company's TCAD software are used in semiconductor industry to model and optimize manufacturing process and device performance. Its EDA software solution include spice modelling, and simulation, parasitic extraction and reduction, standard cell generation and optical proximity correction.

The company also provides SIP and EDA software and design services, such as standard cell library development; and embedded memory compilers.

Further, the company provides SIP management tools and SIP. It serves semiconductor manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers that deploys solutions in production flows across various target markets, including display, power devices, automotive, memory, high performance computing, Internet of Things, and 5G/6G mobile markets.

The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Stock analysis

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) currently trades at $7.45, while our estimate is $5.75, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $4.31 (bear) to $7.19 (bull), the price of $7.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $63.1M in FY2025 versus $42.0M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$41.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $246M Micro · P/S ratio 3.32 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6600 · Net margin −30.4% · Return on equity −27.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −17.3% · Revenue (TTM) $72.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 3 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 131% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −23%, SVCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $4.31 Fair Value $5.75 Bull $7.19
Price $7.45 · Downside -22.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 45
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 49
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 65
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 16
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $24,848, on Aug 11, 2026. Over the same period, 6 people sold shares worth $2.7M.

  • SaleCandace JacksonOfficer7× since Nov 19, 2025: 20,244 shares, avg. $6.18$125,039Nov 9, 2026
  • SaleChristopher John ZegarelliChief Financial Officer3× since Apr 1, 2026: 44,350 shares, avg. $7.08$313,851Nov 9, 2026
  • SaleCheemin Bo-LinnDirector2× since Aug 11, 2026: 1,872 shares, avg. $7.30$13,673Nov 9, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleTed L Tewksbury IIIDirector2× since Aug 11, 2026: 1,557 shares, avg. $7.30$11,365Nov 9, 202610b5-1 plan
  • BuyAnthony K.K. NgaiDirector5× since Nov 18, 2025: 13,250 shares, avg. $5.41$71,678Aug 11, 2026
  • SaleKatherine S. Ngai-PesicDirector, 10% owner2× since Nov 25, 2025: 600,000 shares, avg. $5.09$3.1MJun 11, 2026
  • SaleIlliya I. PesicDirector, 10% owner2× since Nov 17, 2025: 406,000 shares, avg. $2.10$850,760Jun 3, 2026
  • BuyKatherine S. Ngai-PesicDirector, 10% owner25,000 shares at $4.13$103,250Dec 10, 2025
  • BuyWalden C RhinesChief Executive Officer, Director3× since Nov 17, 2025: 53,372 shares, avg. $4.02$214,522Dec 9, 2025
  • BuyChristopher John ZegarelliChief Financial Officer2× since Nov 17, 2025: 15,000 shares, avg. $3.84$57,550Dec 8, 2025

Plus 1 more entries from the last 12 months.

Plus 18 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.0% (2020) → −21.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SVCO screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 723 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −33.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −30.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −17.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 47.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.39× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $236.70 $463.72 +96% vs SVCO
Salesforce, Inc CRM $213.48 $342.73 +61% vs SVCO
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $70.05 $101.28 +45% vs SVCO
Intuit Inc INTU $340.44 $459.14 +35% vs SVCO
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $99.61 $112.17 +13% vs SVCO
SAP SE SAP €209.95 €173.59 −17% vs SVCO
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $331.64 $225.48 −32% vs SVCO
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $305.44 $150.40 −51% vs SVCO
Shopify Inc SHOP $146.61 $64.96 −56% vs SVCO
Snowflake Inc SNOW $295.76 $73.81 −75% vs SVCO

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Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVCO

Frequently asked questions

Is Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $5.75 versus a price of $7.45, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SVCO?
Our estimate for Silvaco Group, Inc. is $5.75 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.45.
What is the quality score of SVCO?
Silvaco Group, Inc. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $5.75 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $4.31, optimistic scenario $7.19. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $5.75, about 23% lower versus a price of $7.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.31, optimistic scenario $7.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
Silvaco Group, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $72.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Silvaco Group, Inc. it is $5.75 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $7.45.
Is Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, SVCO trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.45, fair value $5.75, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.75). For Silvaco Group, Inc. the two are $1.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Silvaco Group, Inc. at about $246M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $7.45; our models calculate a fair value of $5.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVCO?
Our models span a range for Silvaco Group, Inc.: cautious scenario $4.31, base $5.75, optimistic $7.19 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $7.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Silvaco Group, Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −27.0%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SVCO from its 52-week high?
Silvaco Group, Inc. trades at $7.45, about 46% below its 52-week high of $13.79 and 131% above the low of $3.23 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $7.45, calculated fair value $5.75 (−23%), Quality Score 32/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Silvaco Group, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $7.45. Our estimate is $5.75, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Silvaco Group, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
The market capitalisation of Silvaco Group, Inc. is $246M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Silvaco Group, Inc. is 3.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
Earnings per share at Silvaco Group, Inc. are $−0.6600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
The net margin of Silvaco Group, Inc. is −30.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Silvaco Group, Inc. is −27.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Silvaco Group, Inc. is −10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
The operating margin of Silvaco Group, Inc. is −17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO)?
Revenue at Silvaco Group, Inc. is growing +47.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Silvaco Group, Inc. is −$34.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) hold?
Silvaco Group, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $2.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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