Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd stock A$0.96, price A$3.53, that is 72.8% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3819 – A$5.32 · fair‑value band A$0.7140 – A$1.20 · the A$3.53 price screens above the A$0.9605 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides electrical, instrumentation, communications, security, fire, and maintenance services and products in Australia. It operates through SCEE Electrical, Heyday, Trivantage, and Force Fire segments.
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The company installs electrical and data communications cabling products and systems; designs, manufactures, and installs commercial and industrial switchboards; and provides security system solutions, including consultation, design, supply, installation, integration, preventative maintenance, access control, workforce access management, intruder detection, perimeter solutions and gates, nurse call and duress systems, and CCTV servicing, as well as designs, installs, inspects, tests, and maintains fire protection systems.
It also provides electrical infrastructure, building controls, energy management systems, lighting, security, communications, networking, maintenance, and structured cabling systems; solutions for LNG upstream and downstream facilities, and petrochemical refineries; and construction and maintenance services for private and publicly funded infrastructure assets.
In addition, the company engages in the decarbonization projects, such as solar farms, wind farms, lithium and copper, recycling plants, power, and building design optimization.
The company operates under the SCEE Electrical, Datatel, Heyday, MDE, SJ Electrical, Trivantage Manufacturing, Seme Solutions, and Force Fire brands. It serves commercial, resources, infrastructure, and decarbonization markets. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) currently trades at A$3.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.9605, 73% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$4.62 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$3.53 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.3600, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$0.7140 (bear) to A$1.20 (bull), the price of A$3.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd reported revenue of A$719M in FY2026 versus A$553M in FY2022, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$7.1M in FY2026, compounding −17.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.1B (≈ $745M) Small · P/E ratio 151.5 · P/S ratio 1.51 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0233 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −73%, SXE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.7140Fair Value A$0.9605BullA$1.20
Price A$3.53 · Downside -72.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFA$3.23A$5.00A$7.8979
Growth DCFA$3.21A$4.81A$7.3178
Owner EarningsA$1.59A$2.14A$3.0377
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$3.23A$5.00A$7.8979
Owner EarningsA$1.59A$2.14A$3.0377
5Y Revenue ExitA$2.94A$4.44A$6.4672
5Y EBITDA ExitA$3.12A$4.80A$6.8875
5Y P/E ExitA$1.88A$2.25A$2.6572
10Y Revenue ExitA$2.96A$4.39A$6.5466
10Y EBITDA ExitA$3.13A$4.64A$6.8868
10Y P/E ExitA$2.34A$2.84A$3.4665
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$0.1600A$0.7100A$0.980064
Lynch FVA$0.1900A$0.2700A$0.350061
PEG = 1.0A$0.1900A$0.2700A$0.350057
EPVA$2.60A$2.87A$3.1074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMA$0.5300A$1.04A$1.5467
DDM Multi-StageA$0.5300A$0.9000A$1.1067
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$0.3600A$0.4800A$0.600063
P/S MultipleA$0.2900A$0.3900A$0.490058
P/B MultipleA$0.8400A$1.13A$1.4155
EV/EBITA$3.56A$4.48A$5.4166
EV/EBITDAA$3.19A$3.99A$4.7967
EV/RevenueA$2.76A$3.61A$4.4654
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.2300A$0.3600A$0.440055
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$3.21A$4.81A$7.3178
Rev-Margin DCFA$2.94A$4.42A$6.3172
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.7300A$0.7400A$0.770076
ROIC CompounderA$2.70A$3.12A$3.5672
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$0.3000A$0.4300A$0.560067
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−12.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.1% vs −3.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+23.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.5% a year for the price and +20.0% for the forecasts.
Compare Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−72.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.6% · Below median
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)9.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−8.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)151.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.51× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)18.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.4× · Pricier than median
PEG3.01× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)57· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.9605 versus a price of A$3.53, about 73% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SXE?
Our model-based fair value for Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is A$0.9605 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$3.53.
What is the quality score of SXE?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.9605 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.7140, optimistic scenario A$1.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.9605, about 73% lower versus a price of A$3.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.7140, optimistic scenario A$1.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$719M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd pay a dividend?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 22, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2018. The payout ratio is 43.4% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 333%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.93 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +2.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.2 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SXE use?
Our models discount Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd that is +2.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd grew +14.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +2.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (+2.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.57 %: that much free cash flow Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd it is A$0.9605 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of A$3.53. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, SXE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$3.53, fair value A$0.9605, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SXE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$3.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.9605). For Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd the two are A$2.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd worth?
The market values Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd at about A$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is A$3.53; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.9605 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SXE?
Our models span a range for Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.7140, base A$0.9605, optimistic A$1.20 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price A$3.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SXE?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 151.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.9605 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 19.7 (reported 151.5). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2018 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 10.2. Other multiples: PEG 3.0, P/B 3.2, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 11.4.
What is the PEG ratio of SXE?
The PEG ratio of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 3.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SXE from its 52-week high?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd trades at A$3.53, about 34% below its 52-week high of A$5.32 and 63% above the low of A$2.17 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.9605 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price A$3.53, calculated fair value A$0.9605 (−73%), Quality Score 44/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SXE calculated?
We run Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.9605 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$3.53. Our model-based fair value is A$0.9605, about 73% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The market capitalisation of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is A$1.1B (≈ $745M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 1.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Earnings per share at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd are A$0.0233 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 151.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The dividend yield of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 2.8% (payout 43.4%, on adjusted earnings, reported 333%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The net margin of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 1.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
The operating margin of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Revenue at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd is growing −8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE)?
Earnings per share at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd are growing +24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd (SXE) hold?
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$240M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026