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Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock IDR 3, price IDR 10, that is 67.0% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials ID · ISIN ID1000125404

ET Express Transindo Utama Tbk logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Express Transindo Utama Tbk

TAXI · JK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 67% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +5.9 %/yr in IDR)
Fair value 3.30 IDR · Strongly overvalued
Quality 34/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

50.00 IDR 1.00 IDR Fair Value 3.30 IDR Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 2.18 IDR – 4.12 IDR · the 10.00 IDR price screens above the 3.30 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides land transportation services in Indonesia. The company offers taxi services; land transportation business service; tour related services; and bus rental services under the Eagle High brand name.

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It operates a fleet in Jakarta, Depok, Tangerang, Bekasi, Medan, Surabaya, Semarang, Padang, Lombok, and Bali. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in West Jakarta, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) currently trades at 10.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.30 IDR, 67% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 2.18 IDR (bear) to 4.12 IDR (bull), the price of 10.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.

Express Transindo Utama Tbk reported revenue of 3.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 7.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −19.6B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 102B IDR (≈ $5.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 14.9 · EPS (TTM) −1.50 IDR · Return on equity −34.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.1% · Revenue (TTM) 7.6B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +285%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −67%, TAXI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.18 IDR Fair Value 3.30 IDR Bull 4.12 IDR
Price 10.00 IDR · Downside -67.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 2.18 IDR 3.30 IDR 4.12 IDR 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.18 IDR 3.30 IDR 4.12 IDR 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 51
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 85
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−427.8% (2020) → −525.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TAXI screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 108 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −50.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 285.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.77× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 13.51× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥6.55 ¥9.21 +41% vs TAXI
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥5.36 ¥5.84 +9% vs TAXI
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $283.59 $290.92 +3% vs TAXI
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.88 ¥4.66 −5% vs TAXI
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $124.06 $100.13 −19% vs TAXI
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $290.16 $153.89 −47% vs TAXI
Getlink SE GET €20.22 €10.47 −48% vs TAXI
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $319.94 $132.55 −59% vs TAXI
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.17 $38.04 −59% vs TAXI
CSX Corporation CSX $49.12 $12.92 −74% vs TAXI

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Express Transindo Utama Tbk: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Express Transindo Utama Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAXI

Frequently asked questions

Is Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.30 IDR versus a price of 10.00 IDR, about 67% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TAXI?
Our model-based fair value for Express Transindo Utama Tbk is 3.30 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TAXI?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.30 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.18 IDR, optimistic scenario 4.12 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.30 IDR, about 67% lower versus a price of 10.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.18 IDR, optimistic scenario 4.12 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.6B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Express Transindo Utama Tbk it is 3.30 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 10.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, TAXI trades above its calculated fair value: price 10.00 IDR, fair value 3.30 IDR, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAXI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.30 IDR). For Express Transindo Utama Tbk the two are 6.70 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Express Transindo Utama Tbk worth?
The market values Express Transindo Utama Tbk at about 102B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 10.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 3.30 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAXI?
Our models span a range for Express Transindo Utama Tbk: cautious scenario 2.18 IDR, base 3.30 IDR, optimistic 4.12 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 10.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Express Transindo Utama Tbk (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −34.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAXI from its 52-week high?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk trades at 10.00 IDR, about 72% below its 52-week high of 36.00 IDR and 11% above the low of 9.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.30 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Express Transindo Utama Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 10.00 IDR, calculated fair value 3.30 IDR (−67%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TAXI calculated?
We run Express Transindo Utama Tbk through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.30 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Express Transindo Utama Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 10.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 3.30 IDR, about 67% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Express Transindo Utama Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.12 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.18 IDR to 4.12 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Express Transindo Utama Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The market capitalisation of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is 102B IDR (≈ $5.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is 14.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Earnings per share at Express Transindo Utama Tbk are −1.50 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −34.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −21.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The operating margin of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Revenue at Express Transindo Utama Tbk is growing +285% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) generate?
The free cash flow of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −3.4B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) hold?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk holds more cash than debt, 665M IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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