Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Express Transindo Utama Tbk IDR 3, price IDR 15, upside -78.0%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 2.18 IDR – 4.12 IDR · the 15.00 IDR price screens above the 3.30 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides land transportation services in Indonesia. The company offers taxi services; land transportation business service; tour related services; and bus rental services under the Eagle High brand name.
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PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides land transportation services in Indonesia. The company offers taxi services; land transportation business service; tour related services; and bus rental services under the Eagle High brand name. It operates a fleet in Jakarta, Depok, Tangerang, Bekasi, Medan, Surabaya, Semarang, Padang, Lombok, and Bali. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in West Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) currently trades at 15.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.30 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 354.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 2.18 IDR (bear) to 4.12 IDR (bull), the price of 15.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Express Transindo Utama Tbk reported revenue of 3.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 7.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −19.6B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 153B IDR (≈ $8.6M) · P/S ratio 26.0 · EPS (TTM) −0.7500 IDR · Return on equity −40.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.5% · Operating margin −16.9% · Revenue (TTM) 5.1B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +240%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −78%, TAXI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.18 IDRFair Value 3.30 IDRBull 4.12 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −43.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−427.8% (2020) → −525.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Express Transindo Utama Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 115 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth240% · Top 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Express Transindo Utama Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAXI
Frequently asked questions
Is Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.30 IDR versus a price of 15.00 IDR, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TAXI?
Our model-based fair value for Express Transindo Utama Tbk is 3.30 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TAXI?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.30 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.18 IDR, optimistic scenario 4.12 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.30 IDR, about −78% upside versus a price of 15.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.18 IDR, optimistic scenario 4.12 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.1B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Express Transindo Utama Tbk it is 3.30 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 15.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TAXI trades above its calculated fair value: price 15.00 IDR, fair value 3.30 IDR, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAXI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.30 IDR). For Express Transindo Utama Tbk the two are 11.70 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Express Transindo Utama Tbk worth?
The market values Express Transindo Utama Tbk at about 153B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 15.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 3.30 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAXI?
Our models span a range for Express Transindo Utama Tbk: cautious scenario 2.18 IDR, base 3.30 IDR, optimistic 4.12 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 15.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Express Transindo Utama Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −40.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAXI from its 52-week high?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk trades at 15.00 IDR, about 58% below its 52-week high of 36.00 IDR and 25% above the low of 12.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.30 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Express Transindo Utama Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Express Transindo Utama Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 15.00 IDR, calculated fair value 3.30 IDR (−78%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TAXI calculated?
We run Express Transindo Utama Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.30 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Express Transindo Utama Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 15.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 3.30 IDR, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Express Transindo Utama Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.12 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.18 IDR to 4.12 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Express Transindo Utama Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The market capitalisation of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is 153B IDR (≈ $8.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is 26.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Earnings per share at Express Transindo Utama Tbk are −0.7500 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −40.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −21.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
The operating margin of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI)?
Revenue at Express Transindo Utama Tbk is growing +240% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) generate?
The free cash flow of Express Transindo Utama Tbk is −4.9B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) hold?
Express Transindo Utama Tbk holds more cash than debt, 665M IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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