PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, (TAXI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 133B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 16.22 IDR to 3.30 IDR (−79.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +25.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.12 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (2.18 IDR to 4.12 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 2.18 IDR – 4.12 IDR · the 15.00 IDR price screens above the 3.30 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, (TAXI) currently trades at 15.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.30 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 78.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 5.1B IDR. Revenue grew 239.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 665M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.18 IDR (bear case) to 4.12 IDR (bull case); at 15.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -78%, TAXI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (25.31 IDR) versus Asset-Based (2.41 IDR). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Notify me when TAXI reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides land transportation services in Indonesia. The company offers taxi services; land transportation business service; tour related services; and bus rental services under the Eagle High brand name.
Full company description
PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides land transportation services in Indonesia. The company offers taxi services; land transportation business service; tour related services; and bus rental services under the Eagle High brand name. It operates a fleet in Jakarta, Depok, Tangerang, Bekasi, Medan, Surabaya, Semarang, Padang, Lombok, and Bali. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in West Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, reported revenue of 3.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 7.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −19.6B IDR in FY2025.
TAXI screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
Compare PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, (TAXI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TAXI?
What is the quality score of TAXI?
What is the revenue of PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, (TAXI)?
What is the net profit margin of TAXI?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk, and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.