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Data-driven stock valuation

Valhi Inc (VHI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Valhi Inc stock $7.48, price $16.10, that is 53.5% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US

VI Valhi Inc logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Valhi Inc

VHI · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 54% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +18%, profit +25%.
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Fair value $7.48 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.2 %/yr in USD)
Narrow moat 29/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$49.56 $10.39 Fair Value $7.48 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.39 – $49.56 · fair‑value band $7.48 – $16.22 · the $16.10 price screens above the $7.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Valhi, Inc. engages in the chemicals, component products, and real estate management and development businesses in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

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The Chemicals segment produces and markets titanium dioxide pigments (TiO2), which are white inorganic pigments used in various applications by paint, plastics, paper, fibers and ceramics, decorative laminate, and paper manufacturers.

This segment also provides TiO2 under the KRONOS name through agents and distributors.

The Component Products segment manufactures mechanical and electrical cabinet locks, and other locking mechanisms for use in mailboxes, ignition systems, file cabinets, desk drawers, tool storage cabinets, medical cabinetry security, integrated inventory and access control secured narcotics boxes, electronic circuit panels, storage compartments, gas station security, and vending and cash containment machine applications.

This segment also provides stainless steel exhaust components, gauges, throttle controls, wake enhancement systems, trim tabs, and related hardware and accessories primarily for performance and ski/wakeboard boats.

The Real Estate Management and Development segment offers utility services to industrial customers; owns real properties; and develops land holdings for commercial, industrial, and residential purposes. This segment also holds marketable securities and other investments.

The company was incorporated in 1932 and is based in Dallas, Texas. Valhi, Inc. is a subsidiary of Dixie Rice Agricultural L.L.C.

Stock analysis

Valhi Inc (VHI) currently trades at $16.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.48, 54% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $7.48 (bear) to $16.22 (bull), the price of $16.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Valhi Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$57.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $459M Small · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) $−1.80 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −2.8% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −54%, VHI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.48 Fair Value $7.48 Bull $16.22
Price $16.10 · Downside -53.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA n/a $3.74 $8.11 62
NCAV (Graham) $11.31 $15.16 $22.63 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a $3.74 $8.11 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.31 $15.16 $22.63 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 45
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 37
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 60
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 38 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → −0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

VHI screens overvalued: fair value 54% below the price. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 337 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −53.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.5% · Below median
Return on assets −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 10.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 17.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.58× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.32× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)88 · sector 67
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)71 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 232,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +153% vs VHI
Dow Inc DOW $31.40 $41.88 +33% vs VHI
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.62 ¥19.26 +16% vs VHI
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥21.24 ¥22.31 +5% vs VHI
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 47.50 SAR 36.26 SAR −24% vs VHI
BASF SE BAS €54.28 €38.46 −29% vs VHI
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 ¥10.41 ¥6.28 −40% vs VHI
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥32.32 ¥19.31 −40% vs VHI
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 68.90 TWD 35.56 TWD −48% vs VHI
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥66.38 ¥17.47 −74% vs VHI

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Valhi Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valhi Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VHI

Frequently asked questions

Is Valhi Inc (VHI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.48 versus a price of $16.10, about 54% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VHI?
Our model-based fair value for Valhi Inc is $7.48 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.10.
What is the quality score of VHI?
Valhi Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.48 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.48, optimistic scenario $16.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Valhi Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.48, about 54% lower versus a price of $16.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.48, optimistic scenario $16.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Valhi Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Valhi Inc pay a dividend?
Valhi Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.50% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Valhi Inc (VHI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Valhi Inc pays a dividend of $0.08 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 3, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1987. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.5% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.5% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Valhi Inc it is $7.48 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $16.10. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Valhi Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, VHI trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.10, fair value $7.48, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VHI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.48). For Valhi Inc the two are $8.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Valhi Inc worth?
The market values Valhi Inc at about $459M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $16.10; our models calculate a fair value of $7.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VHI?
Our models span a range for Valhi Inc: cautious scenario $7.48, base $7.48, optimistic $16.22 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $16.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of VHI?
The PEG ratio of Valhi Inc is 0.32 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Valhi Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VHI from its 52-week high?
Valhi Inc trades at $16.10, about 14% below its 52-week high of $18.66 and 42% above the low of $11.37 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Valhi Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Valhi Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $16.10, calculated fair value $7.48 (−54%), Quality Score 38/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VHI calculated?
We run Valhi Inc through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.48 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Valhi Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $16.10. Our model-based fair value is $7.48, about 54% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Valhi Inc right now?
Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($7.48 to $16.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Valhi Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The market capitalisation of Valhi Inc is $459M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Valhi Inc is 0.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Earnings per share at Valhi Inc are $−1.80. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The dividend yield of Valhi Inc is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The net margin of Valhi Inc is −2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Valhi Inc is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Valhi Inc is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Valhi Inc (VHI)?
The operating margin of Valhi Inc is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Revenue at Valhi Inc is growing +17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Valhi Inc (VHI)?
Earnings per share at Valhi Inc are growing +25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Valhi Inc (VHI) generate?
The free cash flow of Valhi Inc is −$82.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Valhi Inc (VHI) carry?
The net debt of Valhi Inc is $389M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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