Net Digital AG (VRL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Net Digital AG stock €9.20, price €29.10, that is 68.4% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.48 – €31.00 · fair‑value band €5.62 – €21.43 · the €29.10 price screens above the €9.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Net-Digital AG provides global payment, mobile payment, communication, television enabling, content distribution, and artificial intelligence solutions in Germany. The company was formerly known as Black Pearl Digital AG. Net-Digital AG was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Düsseldorf, Germany.
Stock analysis
Net Digital AG (VRL) currently trades at €29.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.20, 68% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of €55.32 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the €29.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.76, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €5.62 (bear) to €21.43 (bull), the price of €29.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Net Digital AG reported revenue of €37.8M in FY2025 versus €8.3M in FY2021, a compound +46.1%/yr. Reported net income was €2.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €62.4M Micro · P/E ratio 14.3 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) €2.04 · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity −1,816% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% (5-year average) · Revenue growth (YoY) +38.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −68%, VRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€5.62Fair Value €9.20Bull€21.43
Price €29.10 · Downside -68.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.75 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+244.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+335.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+373.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−898.9% (2020) → 9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+46.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 628 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−68.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets22.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)38.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)14.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Net Digital AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VRL
Frequently asked questions
Is Net Digital AG (VRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.20 versus a price of €29.10, about 68% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VRL?
Our model-based fair value for Net Digital AG is €9.20 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €29.10.
What is the quality score of VRL?
Net Digital AG has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Net Digital AG (VRL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €9.20 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.62, optimistic scenario €21.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Net Digital AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €9.20, about 68% lower versus a price of €29.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.62, optimistic scenario €21.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Net Digital AG (VRL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Net Digital AG would have to grow free cash flow by +46.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +335.6 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VRL use?
Our models discount Net Digital AG at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 2.98, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Net Digital AG that is +46.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Net Digital AG (VRL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Net Digital AG grew +335.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +46.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Net Digital AG (VRL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Net Digital AG (+46.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.53 %: that much free cash flow Net Digital AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Net Digital AG it is €9.20 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €29.10. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Net Digital AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, VRL trades above its calculated fair value: price €29.10, fair value €9.20, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VRL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€29.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€9.20). For Net Digital AG the two are €19.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Net Digital AG worth?
The market values Net Digital AG at about €62.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €29.10; our models calculate a fair value of €9.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VRL?
Our models span a range for Net Digital AG: cautious scenario €5.62, base €9.20, optimistic €21.43 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €29.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VRL?
Net Digital AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €9.20 is built from several models across several years.
How far is VRL from its 52-week high?
Net Digital AG trades at €29.10, about 6% below its 52-week high of €31.00 and 114% above the low of €13.60 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €9.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Net Digital AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Net Digital AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €29.10, calculated fair value €9.20 (−68%), Quality Score 63/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VRL calculated?
We run Net Digital AG through 11 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €9.20 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Net Digital AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €29.10. Our model-based fair value is €9.20, about 68% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Net Digital AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€21.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (€5.62 to €21.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Net Digital AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
The market capitalisation of Net Digital AG is €62.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Net Digital AG is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
Earnings per share at Net Digital AG are €2.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
The net margin of Net Digital AG is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Net Digital AG is −1,816% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Net Digital AG (VRL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Net Digital AG is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Net Digital AG (VRL)?
Revenue at Net Digital AG is growing +38.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +52.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Net Digital AG (VRL) hold?
Net Digital AG holds more cash than debt, €2.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026