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Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Western Forest Products Inc stock C$17.78, price C$15.04, upside +18.2%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA9582112038

WF Western Forest Products Inc logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

Western Forest Products Inc

WEF · TO
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs 15% less than our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Fair value C$17.78 · Fairly valued
Quality 44/100
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr in CAD)
Loss-making · -3.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$66.67 C$10.26 Fair Value C$17.78 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$10.26 – C$66.67 · fair‑value band C$13.33 – C$22.22 · the C$15.04 price screens below the C$17.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Western Forest Products Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated softwood forest products company in Canada, the United States, Japan, China, Europe, and internationally.

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The company is involved in the sale of lumber and logs that include timber harvesting; sawmilling logs into specialty lumber; value-added lumber and glue-laminated timber remanufacturing; and lumber purchase and wholesaling activities.

It also provides engineered products, including custom glulam, curves and arches, stock glulam, and industrial applications; decking, timber, and fencing products; siding, trim and fascia, paneling, and soffits; industrial products comprising lamstock, packaging products, treated lumber, bridge, docks, rail ties, cross arms, crane, and rig mat; and structural products, such as timbers, machine stress rated lumber, and structural framing.

Western Forest Products Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) currently trades at C$15.04, while our estimate is C$17.78, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 15.4%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: C$13.33 (bear) to C$22.22 (bull), the price of C$15.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Western Forest Products Inc reported revenue of C$987M in FY2025 versus C$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$79.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$159M (≈ $111M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) C$−2.73 · Net margin −3.3% · Return on equity −6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5.9% · Revenue (TTM) C$880M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 18%, WEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear C$13.33 Fair Value C$17.78 Bull C$22.22
Price C$15.04 · Upside +18.2%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 56
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 60
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 62
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.6% (2020) → −12.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 79 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +18.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −5.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.18× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)58 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)9 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $80.11 $103.76 +30% vs WEF
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$66.59 C$81.51 +22% vs WEF
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.75 ¥15.06 +18% vs WEF
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $201.65 $216.58 +7% vs WEF
Interfor Corporation IFP C$13.17 C$10.93 −17% vs WEF
Boise Cascade Company BCC $69.52 $52.60 −24% vs WEF
Canfor Corporation CFP C$14.50 C$9.08 −37% vs WEF
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹662.00 ₹211.47 −68% vs WEF
Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Company 000592 ¥6.89 ¥1.45 −79% vs WEF
Greenlam Industries Limited GREENLAM ₹204.17 ₹42.91 −79% vs WEF

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Western Forest Products Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Western Forest Products Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our estimate of fair value is C$17.78 versus a price of C$15.04, about +18% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WEF?
Our estimate for Western Forest Products Inc is C$17.78 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$15.04.
What is the quality score of WEF?
Western Forest Products Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of C$17.78 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Cautious scenario C$13.33, optimistic scenario C$22.22. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Western Forest Products Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at C$17.78, about +18% upside versus a price of C$15.04 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$13.33, optimistic scenario C$22.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Western Forest Products Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$880M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Western Forest Products Inc it is C$17.78 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of C$15.04.
Is Western Forest Products Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, WEF trades below its calculated fair value: price C$15.04, fair value C$17.78, a gap of about +18% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$15.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$17.78). For Western Forest Products Inc the two are C$2.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Western Forest Products Inc worth?
The market values Western Forest Products Inc at about C$159M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is C$15.04; our models calculate a fair value of C$17.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WEF?
Our models span a range for Western Forest Products Inc: cautious scenario C$13.33, base C$17.78, optimistic C$22.22 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price C$15.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of WEF?
The PEG ratio of Western Forest Products Inc is 0.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Western Forest Products Inc (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity −6.6%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WEF from its 52-week high?
Western Forest Products Inc trades at C$15.04, about 24% below its 52-week high of C$19.75 and 47% above the low of C$10.26 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$17.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Western Forest Products Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Stella-Jones Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Western Forest Products Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price C$15.04, calculated fair value C$17.78 (+18%), Quality Score 44/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Western Forest Products Inc currently trades 15% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was C$15.04. Our estimate is C$17.78, about +18% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Western Forest Products Inc right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Western Forest Products Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
The market capitalisation of Western Forest Products Inc is C$159M (≈ $111M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Western Forest Products Inc is 0.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Earnings per share at Western Forest Products Inc are C$−2.73. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
The net margin of Western Forest Products Inc is −3.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Western Forest Products Inc is −6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Western Forest Products Inc is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
The operating margin of Western Forest Products Inc is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Revenue at Western Forest Products Inc is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Western Forest Products Inc (WEF)?
Earnings per share at Western Forest Products Inc are growing −82.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) generate?
The free cash flow of Western Forest Products Inc is −C$14.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) carry?
The net debt of Western Forest Products Inc is C$54.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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