Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$196M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$3.71 to C$7.43 (+100.2%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$9.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$4.90 to C$9.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$6.32 – C$28.50 · fair‑value band C$4.90 – C$9.29 · the C$18.74 price screens above the C$7.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Western Forest Products Inc (WEF) currently trades at C$18.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$7.43, implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Western Forest Products Inc generated revenue of C$926M at a net margin of -12.2%. Revenue declined 23.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.3%. Net debt stands at C$54.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$4.90 (bear case) to C$9.29 (bull case); at C$18.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -60%, WEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Western Forest Products Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated softwood forest products company in Canada, the United States, Japan, China, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Western Forest Products Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated softwood forest products company in Canada, the United States, Japan, China, Europe, and internationally. The company is involved in the sale of lumber and logs that include timber harvesting; sawmilling logs into specialty lumber; value-added lumber and glue-laminated timber remanufacturing; and lumber purchase and wholesaling activities. It also provides engineered products, including custom glulam, curves and arches, stock glulam, and industrial applications; decking, timber, and fencing products; siding, trim and fascia, paneling, and soffits; industrial products comprising lamstock, packaging products, treated lumber, bridge, docks, rail ties, cross arms, crane, and rig mat; and structural products, such as timbers, machine stress rated lumber, and structural framing. Western Forest Products Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Western Forest Products Inc reported revenue of C$987M in FY2025 versus C$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$79.8M in FY2025.
WEF screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $194.83 | $145.26 | -25% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$97.70 | C$33.38 | -66% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $92.82 | $107.07 | +15% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $84.25 | $51.39 | -39% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹763.85 | ₹201.01 | -74% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$15.73 | C$4.54 | -71% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$14.38 | C$6.43 | -55% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.17 | ¥0.6700 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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