Monaco Fair Value Calculator

Estimate the fair value of a stock using the Monaco method

🏝️ Monaco Fair Value Calculator

Intrinsic value from EPS, growth and discount; compares against current price.

    

Note: Works best for stable EPS and moderate growth; ensure discount > growth.

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Monaco Fair Value Calculator

Inputting the current stock price, earnings per share (EPS), growth rate, and discount rate is just the beginning of gaining a greater understanding of the potential value of a stock. Using the Monaco method, which is a tried and true approach in financial analysis, investors can calculate the intrinsic value of a stock to make more informed investment decisions.

Our Fair Value Calculator takes these key financial metrics and provides an estimate of the stock’s fair value. This tool is incredibly useful for any investor as it allows them to quickly and easily evaluate the potential value of a stock before deciding to invest.

By utilizing this calculator and understanding the intrinsic value of a stock, investors are better equipped to make informed and strategic decisions when it comes to investing in the stock market. Whether you are a seasoned professional or just starting, our Fair Value Calculator is an invaluable resource to help you make the most of your investments.

FAQ: Monaco Fair Value Calculator

A composite, regime-aware fair value that blends cash-flow models, dividend methods, classic heuristics and quality/EV checks into one actionable range.

What is the Monaco Fair Value?
A blended intrinsic value that combines multiple valuation models with an overlay for quality, leverage and cyclicality. It outputs a central estimate and a low–high range.
Which valuation methods are blended?
How are model weights decided?
Default weights adapt to the business profile and data quality (e.g., more DDM for stable payers, more DCF for cash-flow visibility). A quality/risk overlay increases required return or trims weight when leverage, volatility or accounting noise are elevated. You can adjust weights to match your thesis.
Which inputs drive Monaco the most?
  • Growth and margin path (use mid-cycle for cyclicals).
  • Reinvestment (CapEx, working capital) and cash conversion.
  • Discount rate/WACC from the Discount Rate Calculator.
  • Terminal value assumptions and share count/dilution.
How does the quality/risk overlay affect fair value?
Profitability, margin stability, leverage and accruals/one-offs inform a risk adjustment. Higher risk → higher required return and/or lower weight, widening the range and implying a larger Margin of Safety.
How do I keep capital structure and EV consistent?
Compute a clean Enterprise Value (leases, minorities, pensions) with the EV Calculator before comparing EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA in Stock Valuation.
How does Monaco handle cyclicals or negative EPS cases?
It emphasizes DCF with mid-cycle inputs and EV multiples; EPS-based heuristics are down-weighted. Use sector context from Sector Valuation.
How should I read the Monaco range and confidence?
The central value is a weighted blend; the band reflects model dispersion and risk overlay. Wider bands → require a higher MoS and smaller position sizes.
Do market rates and sector cycles change the result?
Yes. Discount rates and multiples shift with regimes. Anchor assumptions with Market Valuation and Sector Valuation.
Common mistakes to avoid with Monaco Fair Value
  • Mixing TTM and forward inputs inconsistently across models.
  • Ignoring EV reconciliation and share-count changes.
  • Over-weighting heuristics for cyclicals or negative EPS.
What’s a practical workflow with this page?
  1. Screen candidates in the Stock Screener.
  2. Blend values here with Monaco; tune weights if needed.
  3. Model details in the DCF Calculator and compute clean EV.
  4. Review multiples in Stock Valuation and size positions in the Portfolio Manager.
Is this investment advice?
No. Not financial advice. Monaco provides analysis tools and a blended estimate to support your own decisions.
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