China Vanke Co (000002) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CN · Market cap 37.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from ¥5.13 to ¥2.52 (−50.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −16.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥2.94 – ¥7.14 · fair‑value band ¥2.52 – ¥6.43 · the ¥2.95 price screens above the ¥2.52 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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China Vanke Co (000002) currently trades at ¥2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.52 — implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Vanke Co generated revenue of 224B CNY at a net margin of -39.3%. Revenue declined 23.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.8%. Net debt stands at 128B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
China Vanke Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in property development, operation, and management in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company is involved in the development and sale of residential properties; construction contracts; commercial property operation and asset management; other related services; community residential and consumption services; enterprise and city space services; artificial intelligence; IoT; and business process as a service solution. It also engages in the provision of property services; rental housing; real estate investment and development; hotel and vacation assets; pig farming; logistics and warehousing; and retail property development and operation. The company was incorporated in May 30th, 1984 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Vanke Co reported revenue of ¥233B in FY2025 versus ¥453B in FY2021, a compound −15.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥88.6B in FY2025.
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Recent news
- China's $58.7 Billion High-Yield Bond Market Faces Disclosure Pressure
- Shenzhen Metro Posts $5.5 Billion Loss As Vanke Pressure Deepens
- Vanke Seeks Bond Extension With 40% Upfront Repayment as $11B Maturities Loom
- Vanke Faces $1.6B Debt Test as GLP Bonds Slide, IPO Looms
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 146,800 VND | 367,000 VND | +150% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹612.35 | ₹215.17 | -65% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,325 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -79% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹894.45 | ₹721.45 | -19% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,633 | ₹1,368 | -16% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹1,708 | ₹2,070 | +21% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.