Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock ¥15.95, price ¥6.38, upside +150.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.25 – ¥12.19 · fair‑value band ¥12.80 – ¥19.65 · the ¥6.38 price screens below the ¥15.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development business in China. It involves hotel management and catering services, property management services, sales and leasing, business management, industry investment, and construction activities.
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The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Changcheng Investment Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. in March 2014. Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) currently trades at ¥6.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.95, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥110.16 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥6.38 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.35, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥12.80 (bear) to ¥19.65 (bull), the price of ¥6.38 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2006: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2006.
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.1%/yr. Reported net income was −902M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B CNY (≈ $636M) Small · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0400 · Dividend yield 9.1% · Net margin −1.9% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 39.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 150%, 000042 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥12.80Fair Value ¥15.95Bull¥19.65
Price ¥6.38 · Upside +150.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2006: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2006.
Revenue growth 1 year
−40.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.4% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.6% (2018) → −48.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+150.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)39.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)561.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)9.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000042
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.95 versus a price of ¥6.38, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000042?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is ¥15.95 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.38.
What is the quality score of 000042?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥15.95 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.80, optimistic scenario ¥19.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥15.95, about +150% upside versus a price of ¥6.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.80, optimistic scenario ¥19.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 9.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 9.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd it is ¥15.95 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥6.38. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 000042 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥6.38, fair value ¥15.95, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000042?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥15.95). For Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥9.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd at about 4.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.38; our models calculate a fair value of ¥15.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000042?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥12.80, base ¥15.95, optimistic ¥19.65 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥6.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −11.5%, debt of 2.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000042 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥6.38, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥10.32 and 2% above the low of ¥6.24 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥15.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥6.38, calculated fair value ¥15.95 (+150%), Quality Score 57/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000042 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥15.95 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥6.38. Our model-based fair value is ¥15.95, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥12.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 4.2B CNY (≈ $636M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd are ¥−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 9.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is −1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 39.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is growing +562% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd are growing +19.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 5.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 2.6B CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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