Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd ¥14.11, price ¥8.41, upside +67.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.25 – ¥12.19 · fair‑value band ¥11.89 – ¥16.51 · the ¥8.41 price screens below the ¥14.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development business in China. It involves hotel management and catering services, property management services, sales and leasing, business management, industry investment, and construction activities.
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Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development business in China. It involves hotel management and catering services, property management services, sales and leasing, business management, industry investment, and construction activities. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Changcheng Investment Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. in March 2014. Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) currently trades at ¥8.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.11, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥109.66 per share, and 10 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥8.41 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.35, and 2 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥11.89 (bear) to ¥16.51 (bull), the price of ¥8.41 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.1%/yr. Reported net income was −902M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.6B CNY (≈ $835M) · P/S ratio 3.08 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.67 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin −34.8% · Return on equity −53.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin 17.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 68%, 000042 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.89Fair Value ¥14.11Bull ¥16.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−40.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.4% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.8% (2020) → 17.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 581 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+68% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−58% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−66% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000042
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.11 versus a price of ¥8.41, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000042?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is ¥14.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.41.
What is the quality score of 000042?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.89, optimistic scenario ¥16.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.11, about +68% upside versus a price of ¥8.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.89, optimistic scenario ¥16.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd it is ¥14.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥8.41. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 000042 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥8.41, fair value ¥14.11, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000042?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.11). For Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥5.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd at about 5.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.41; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000042?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥11.89, base ¥14.11, optimistic ¥16.51 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥8.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −53.4%, debt of 2.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000042 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥8.41, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥10.32 and 15% above the low of ¥7.30 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥8.41, calculated fair value ¥14.11 (+68%), Quality Score 52/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000042 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd currently trades 68 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥8.41. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.11, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥11.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 5.6B CNY (≈ $835M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 3.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd are ¥−1.67. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 7.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is −34.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is −53.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is growing −66.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd are growing +61.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 5.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd (000042) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co Ltd is 2.6B CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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