Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding (000042) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +14.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.16 to ¥14.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.25 – ¥12.19 · fair‑value band ¥7.16 – ¥14.56 · the ¥8.39 price screens below the ¥10.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding (000042) currently trades at ¥8.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.86, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of -58.4%. Revenue declined 66.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -53.4%. Net debt stands at 2.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.16 (bear case) to ¥14.56 (bull case); at ¥8.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 29%, 000042 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥128.38) versus Asset-Based (¥2.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development business in China. It involves hotel management and catering services, property management services, sales and leasing, business management, industry investment, and construction activities. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Changcheng Investment Holding Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development business in China. It involves hotel management and catering services, property management services, sales and leasing, business management, industry investment, and construction activities. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Changcheng Investment Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. in March 2014. Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Centralcon Investment Holding reported revenue of ¥2.6B in FY2025 versus ¥8.7B in FY2021, a compound −26.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥902M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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