Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co (000523) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥0.9600 to ¥0.9100 (−5.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.00 – ¥4.62 · fair‑value band ¥0.6800 – ¥1.13 · the ¥2.88 price screens above the ¥0.9100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co (000523) currently trades at ¥2.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9100, implying the stock looks roughly 68.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 383M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6800 (bear case) to ¥1.13 (bull case); at ¥2.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -68%, 000523 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.54) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou engages in the production and sale of edible sugar, beverages, and other food products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou engages in the production and sale of edible sugar, beverages, and other food products in China and internationally. It offers various refined sugars, such as brown and white sugars under the Hongmian brand; soda, pineapple beer beverages, craft beer, wine series, liquor, and Double Happiness craft beer. The company also provides hand sanitizers, bleaching liquids, chlorine bleach, toilet cleaners, fruit and vegetable tableware cleaners, and clothing disinfectants; and laundry serum, beads, and detergents. In addition, it is involved in site leasing, property management, as well as management and supporting activities; and development and operations of industrial parks. It also operates under the Guangshi, Shuangxi, and Wuyang brands. The company was formerly known as Lonkey Industrial Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou and changed its name to Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou in December 2023. Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥79.4M in FY2025, compounding −51.7%/yr from FY2021.
000523 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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