Grand Industrial Holding (000626) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥8.29 to ¥12.22 (+47.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +21.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥10.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.89 – ¥26.16 · fair‑value band ¥10.69 – ¥13.76 · the ¥7.64 price screens below the ¥12.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Grand Industrial Holding (000626) currently trades at ¥7.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.22, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grand Industrial Holding generated revenue of 80.1B CNY at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 30.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.69 (bear case) to ¥13.76 (bull case); at ¥7.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 60%, 000626 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥6.94) versus Asset-Based (¥2.84). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd engages in trade, crop science, and specialty oils business in China and internationally. The company trades in oilseeds and other bulk agricultural products, including domestic and foreign trade, and terminal sales of palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and other edible oils and fats.
Full company description
Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd engages in trade, crop science, and specialty oils business in China and internationally. The company trades in oilseeds and other bulk agricultural products, including domestic and foreign trade, and terminal sales of palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and other edible oils and fats. It is also involved in the export, warehousing, and logistics businesses; bulk commodity trade business, such as energy, chemicals, metals, rubber, agricultural products, etc.; and customs declaration and inspection, and short-distance distribution services. The company was formerly known as Lianyungang Ideal Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd in October 2016. Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd was founded in 1994 and is based in Lianyungang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grand Industrial Holding reported revenue of ¥75.0B in FY2025 versus ¥81.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥134M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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