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Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd stock ¥8.44, price ¥7.06, upside +19.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE000000H12

GI Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd

000626 · SHE
Undervalued, in an uptrend

The stock costs 16% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ¥8.44 · Undervalued
Low debt
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 16% above the price (¥8.22).
Quality 55/100
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.9 %/yr in CNY)
Negative free cash flow
3.1% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 21/100
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥26.16 ¥3.89 Fair Value ¥8.44 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.89 – ¥26.16 · fair‑value band ¥8.22 – ¥8.76 · the ¥7.06 price screens below the ¥8.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd engages in trade, crop science, and specialty oils business in China and internationally.

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The company trades in oilseeds and other bulk agricultural products, including domestic and foreign trade, and terminal sales of palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and other edible oils and fats.

It is also involved in the export, warehousing, and logistics businesses; bulk commodity trade business, such as energy, chemicals, metals, rubber, agricultural products, etc.; and customs declaration and inspection, and short-distance distribution services.

The company was formerly known as Lianyungang Ideal Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd in October 2016. Grand Industrial Holding Co.,Ltd was founded in 1994 and is based in Lianyungang, China.

Stock analysis

Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626) currently trades at ¥7.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.44, implying the stock looks roughly 16% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥7.23 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥7.06 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.89, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥8.22 (bear) to ¥8.76 (bull), the price of ¥7.06 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 75.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 81.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −134M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $536M) Small · P/E ratio 64.2 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 20%, 000626 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥8.22 Fair Value ¥8.44 Bull ¥8.76
Price ¥7.06 · Upside +19.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥4.11 ¥4.22 ¥4.30 74
ROIC Compounder ¥4.11 ¥4.22 ¥4.38 70
EV/EBITDA ¥7.11 ¥8.29 ¥9.47 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥4.11 ¥4.22 ¥4.30 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥6.32 ¥7.23 ¥8.14 66
EV/EBITDA ¥7.11 ¥8.29 ¥9.47 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.53 ¥6.37 ¥7.21 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.25 ¥1.89 ¥2.36 55
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥4.11 ¥4.22 ¥4.38 70

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 28
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 42
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 64
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 44
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 29
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 84
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.4% (2019) → −0.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 162 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +19.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.3% · Below median
Return on assets −1.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 64.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.67× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 53.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)59 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)62 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Nutrien Ltd NTR $71.48 $83.09 +16% vs 000626
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥23.15 ¥26.81 +16% vs 000626
The Mosaic Company MOS $22.36 $25.77 +15% vs 000626
Yara International ASA YAR kr 401.00 kr 419.83 +5% vs 000626
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥36.68 ¥38.01 +4% vs 000626
ICL Group ICL $4.68 $4.84 +3% vs 000626
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.39 $114.88 −4% vs 000626
UPL Limited UPL ₹534.90 ₹478.29 −11% vs 000626
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥26.22 ¥17.67 −33% vs 000626
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹1,824 ₹1,129 −38% vs 000626

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Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000626

Frequently asked questions

Is Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.44 versus a price of ¥7.06, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000626?
Our model-based fair value for Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is ¥8.44 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.06.
What is the quality score of 000626?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.44 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.22, optimistic scenario ¥8.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.44, about +20% upside versus a price of ¥7.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥8.22, optimistic scenario ¥8.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 79.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.22 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 17, 2026. The payout ratio is 200% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd it is ¥8.44 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥7.06. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 000626 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥7.06, fair value ¥8.44, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000626?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.44). For Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥1.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000626?
Our models span a range for Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥8.22, base ¥8.44, optimistic ¥8.76 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥7.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000626?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 64.2 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 53.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000626 from its 52-week high?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥7.06, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥10.42 and 15% above the low of ¥6.14 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, Yara International ASA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥7.06, calculated fair value ¥8.44 (+20%), Quality Score 55/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000626 calculated?
We run Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥8.44 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd currently trades 16% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥7.06. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.44, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥8.22). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The models converge in a tight band (¥8.22 to ¥8.76), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The market capitalisation of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $536M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is 0.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Earnings per share at Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd are ¥0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 64.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The dividend yield of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is 3.1% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The net margin of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
The operating margin of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Revenue at Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626)?
Earnings per share at Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd are growing +877% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626) generate?
The free cash flow of Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd is −601M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd (000626) hold?
Grand Industrial Holding Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.8B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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