Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd stock ¥0.52, price ¥4.88, upside -89.3%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.59 – ¥10.77 · fair‑value band ¥0.3900 – ¥0.6600 · the ¥4.88 price screens above the ¥0.5200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
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Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co.,Ltd engages in the production and sale of nickel metal wires and high-temperature materials in China. It is also involved in the sale of alloy wires and alloy bars.
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The company was formerly known as Shenyang Hejin Holding Investment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co., Ltd. in October 2017. Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co.,Ltd was founded in 1987 and is based in Urumqi, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633) currently trades at ¥4.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5200, 89.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥0.7700 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥4.88 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3100, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.3900 (bear) to ¥0.6600 (bull), the price of ¥4.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 277M CNY in FY2024 versus 131M CNY in FY2020, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was 11.7M CNY in FY2024, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B CNY (≈ $285M) Micro · P/E ratio 488.0 · P/S ratio 6.95 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −89%, 000633 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0200 to ¥1.38). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.3900Fair Value ¥0.5200Bull¥0.6600
Price ¥4.88 · Upside -89.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.7%
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.9% vs 7.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−13% → 6%
2024 sits 101% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.6% a year for the price.
Compare Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−89.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−10.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)488.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B10.05× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)6.95× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow81.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000633
Frequently asked questions
Is Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5200 versus a price of ¥4.88, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000633?
Our model-based fair value for Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is ¥0.5200 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.88.
What is the quality score of 000633?
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5200 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.3900, optimistic scenario ¥0.6600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5200, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥4.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.3900, optimistic scenario ¥0.6600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 273M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +38.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.7 % per year. As of Oct 26, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000633 use?
Our models discount Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd that is +38.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd grew +22.7 % a year. The price currently implies +38.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (+38.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.23 %: that much free cash flow Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd it is ¥0.5200 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of ¥4.88. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, 000633 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.88, fair value ¥0.5200, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000633?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5200). For Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥4.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd at about 1.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000633?
Our models span a range for Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.3900, base ¥0.5200, optimistic ¥0.6600 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price ¥4.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000633?
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 488.0 (as of Oct 26, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.5200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.1, P/S 7.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000633 from its 52-week high?
Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥4.88, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥9.14 and 7% above the low of ¥4.58 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price ¥4.88, calculated fair value ¥0.5200 (−89%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000633 calculated?
We run Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.5200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was ¥4.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5200, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The market capitalisation of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 1.9B CNY (≈ $285M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 6.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 488.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The dividend yield of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 0.0% (payout 17.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The net margin of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
The operating margin of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Revenue at Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is growing −10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd are growing −70.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd (000633) carry?
The net debt of Xinjiang Hejin Holding Co Ltd is 113M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 26, 2026