Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd ¥0.40, price ¥3.39, upside -88.2%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.89 – ¥5.00 · the ¥3.39 price screens above the ¥0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. engages in ecological environmental protection, regional development, energy trade wholesale, real estate and textile sale, and other industrial fields in China.
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Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. engages in ecological environmental protection, regional development, energy trade wholesale, real estate and textile sale, and other industrial fields in China. It also engages in domestic waste incineration power generation and sanitary landfill, straw incineration power generation, and coordinated disposal of food waste sludge. The company also trades non-ferrous metals, such as electrolytic copper, alumina, aluminum ingots, zinc oxide, zinc concentrate, zinc ingots; ferrous metals, including strip steel, manganese ore, silicon-manganese alloy; and petrochemical products comprise fuel oil, polyethylene, polypropylene, and phenols, as well as involved in equity investment. The company was formerly known as Tianjin TEDA Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. in July 2025. Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1981 and is based in Tianjin, China.
Stock analysis
Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652) currently trades at ¥3.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 747.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥3.65 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥3.39 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.2100, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd reported revenue of 17.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 21.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −286M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.0B CNY (≈ $747M) · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1900 · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 5.3% · Revenue (TTM) 14.7B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −88%, 000652 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.2/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.5% (2020) → 3.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 380 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−76% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.76× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.14× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.05× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)12· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000652
Frequently asked questions
Is Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4000 versus a price of ¥3.39, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000652?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is ¥0.4000 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.39.
What is the quality score of 000652?
Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.4000 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.4000, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥3.39 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd it is ¥0.4000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥3.39. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 000652 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.39, fair value ¥0.4000, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000652?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.4000). For Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd the two are ¥2.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd at about 5.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.39; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.4000 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −7.9%, debt of 1.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000652 from its 52-week high?
Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd trades at ¥3.39, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥4.74 and 3% above the low of ¥3.28 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥3.39, calculated fair value ¥0.4000 (−88%), Quality Score 36/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000652 calculated?
We run Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥3.39. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.4000, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652) come from?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd grew −1.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.5 %, EBIT margin −10.7 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
The market capitalisation of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is 5.0B CNY (≈ $747M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd are ¥−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
The net margin of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is −1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is −7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
The operating margin of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Revenue at Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is growing −76.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd are growing +34.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652) generate?
The free cash flow of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is −608M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd (000652) carry?
The net debt of Tianjin Economic-technological Development Area Co Ltd is 15.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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