Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group (000652) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The model range is unusually wide (¥0.1660 to ¥1.22). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.89 – ¥5.00 · fair‑value band ¥0.1660 – ¥1.22 · the ¥3.45 price screens above the ¥0.8300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group (000652) currently trades at ¥3.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8300, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group generated revenue of 14.7B CNY at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue declined 76.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.9%. Net debt stands at 15.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.1660 (bear case) to ¥1.22 (bull case); at ¥3.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -76%, 000652 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.65) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. engages in ecological environmental protection, regional development, energy trade wholesale, real estate and textile sale, and other industrial fields in China.

Full company description

Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. engages in ecological environmental protection, regional development, energy trade wholesale, real estate and textile sale, and other industrial fields in China. It also engages in domestic waste incineration power generation and sanitary landfill, straw incineration power generation, and coordinated disposal of food waste sludge. The company also trades non-ferrous metals, such as electrolytic copper, alumina, aluminum ingots, zinc oxide, zinc concentrate, zinc ingots; ferrous metals, including strip steel, manganese ore, silicon-manganese alloy; and petrochemical products comprise fuel oil, polyethylene, polypropylene, and phenols, as well as involved in equity investment. The company was formerly known as Tianjin TEDA Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. in July 2025. Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1981 and is based in Tianjin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tianjin TEDA Resources Recycling Group reported revenue of ¥17.9B in FY2025 versus ¥21.2B in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥286M in FY2025.

000652 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.