AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (000768) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 58.5B CNY

Analysis

AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (000768) currently trades at ¥20.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.99 — implying the stock looks roughly 55.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, sells, maintains, and services military aircraft and military and civilian aviation parts in China. It provides large and medium-sized military transport aircrafts, bombers, and special purpose aircrafts. It also offers development of key components such as fuselages and wings for the C909, C919, AG600, and MA series aircraft, as well as manufactures wings and fuselages for the Airbus A320/A321 series aircraft, and vertical tail and inboard flaps for the Boeing B737 series aircraft. In addition, the company offers aviation engineering technical support, customer service, technical information, user training, and aircraft parts support. The company was formerly known as AVIC Aircraft Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Xi'an, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.