Tieling Newcity Investment Holding Ltd (000809) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY (≈ $495M) · ISIN CNE0000000Z9
What is Tieling Newcity Investment Holding Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 633% above our fair value of ¥0.4600.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +3.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.3000 to ¥0.5800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.46 – ¥4.37 · fair‑value band ¥0.3000 – ¥0.5800 · the ¥3.37 price screens above the ¥0.4600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
Tieling Newcity Investment Holding Ltd (000809) currently trades at ¥3.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4600, implying the stock looks roughly 632.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tieling Newcity Investment Holding Ltd generated revenue of 434M CNY at a net margin of −10.1%. It earns a return on equity of −1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3000 (bear case) to ¥0.5800 (bull case); at ¥3.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −86%, 000809 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Liaoning HeZhan Energy Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture of wind turbine mixing tower equipment and new energy investment and development business in China. It manufactures and sells wind turbine steel-concrete towers and provides wind turbine steel-concrete tower solutions.
Full company description
Liaoning HeZhan Energy Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture of wind turbine mixing tower equipment and new energy investment and development business in China. It manufactures and sells wind turbine steel-concrete towers and provides wind turbine steel-concrete tower solutions. The company is also involved in land development, urban water supply, sewage treatment, taxi service, advertising, and media businesses. In addition, it engages in car rental, new energy development, and construction businesses. The company was formerly known as Tieling Newcity Investment Holding (Group) Limited and changed its name to Liaoning HeZhan Energy Group Co., Ltd. in May 2024. Liaoning HeZhan Energy Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is based in Tieling, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tieling Newcity Investment Holding Ltd reported revenue of 359M CNY in FY2025 versus 114M CNY in FY2021, a compound +33.1%/yr. Reported net income was −61.9M CNY in FY2025.
000809 screens 633% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | −10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | −43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | −12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | −5% |
| BEP BEP | $31.27 | $70.40 | +125% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | −32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | −53% |
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