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Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co (000862) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY

NX Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co 000862 · SHE
Price¥5.54
Fair Value¥1.17
Upside-78.9%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.6500 – ¥1.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥2.36 to ¥1.17 (−50.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +18.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.6500 to ¥1.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.20 ¥3.77 Fair Value ¥1.17 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.77 – ¥10.20 · fair‑value band ¥0.6500 – ¥1.57 · the ¥5.54 price screens above the ¥1.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co (000862) currently trades at ¥5.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6500 (bear case) to ¥1.57 (bull case); at ¥5.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -79%, 000862 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥9.76 ¥15.68 ¥24.55 80
Residual Income ¥3.17 ¥2.98 ¥2.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.94 ¥3.51 ¥4.00 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.69 ¥15.79 ¥25.09 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.51 ¥4.38 ¥7.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.54 ¥6.46 ¥8.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.70 ¥12.54 ¥18.23 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.37 ¥4.23 ¥5.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.26 ¥8.51 ¥11.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.33 ¥12.70 ¥18.60 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.60 ¥6.97 ¥8.48 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3300 ¥1.17 ¥1.57 54
Lynch FV ¥0.2700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.5100 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.5100 46
EPV ¥2.94 ¥3.51 ¥4.00 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.14 ¥2.27 ¥3.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.14 ¥1.96 ¥2.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.6500 ¥0.8700 ¥1.09 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.6200 ¥0.8200 ¥1.03 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.6200 ¥0.8200 ¥1.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.29 ¥5.94 ¥7.59 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.44 ¥10.15 ¥12.85 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.82 ¥2.88 ¥3.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.34 ¥3.13 ¥4.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.76 ¥15.68 ¥24.55 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.17 ¥2.98 ¥2.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.94 ¥3.51 ¥4.00 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.4800 ¥0.6900 ¥0.8900 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥15.68) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 0.8%
Free cash flow 850M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 195.3
More key figures
Operating margin 30.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -23.6%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co.,Ltd engages in the energy power generation and equipment manufacturing businesses in China. It operates wind farms and photovoltaic power stations with a total installed capacity of 341.80 MW.

Full company description

Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co.,Ltd engages in the energy power generation and equipment manufacturing businesses in China. It operates wind farms and photovoltaic power stations with a total installed capacity of 341.80 MW. The company also engages in the energy equipment, including wind power generation and solar photovoltaic power generation; energy equipment engineering, which includes tower manufacturing, wind turbine assembly, and gearbox repair; provision of after-sales services; wind farm design, construction, and operation consulting; replacement, operation and maintenance, inspection and testing, hoisting and engineering construction for wind farms and photovoltaic power stations; maintenance capabilities for mainstream wind turbine speed increasers and various imported reducers; and maintenance of coal mining equipment. Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co.,Ltd was founded in 1959 and is based in Yinchuan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥44.5M in FY2025, compounding −17.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+10.3%
Revenue −1.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Net income −17.0%/yr
FY21 ¥93.6M
FY22 ¥204M
FY23 ¥160M
FY24 ¥86.9M
FY25 ¥44.5M

000862 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000862

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 195.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.79× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 1 · sector 23
PAST 3 · sector 28
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co (000862) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.17 versus a price of ¥5.54, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000862?
Our model-based fair value for Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co is ¥1.17 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.54.
What is the quality score of 000862?
Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co (000862)?
Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000862?
The net profit margin of Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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