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Emei Shan Tourism Co (000888) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY

ES Emei Shan Tourism Co 000888 · SHE
Price¥9.64
Fair Value¥9.19
Upside-4.7%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 23.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.34% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.89 – ¥11.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +4.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥6.89 (bear) to ¥11.48 (bull), base ¥9.19. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.32 ¥5.43 Fair Value ¥9.19 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.43 – ¥15.32 · fair‑value band ¥6.89 – ¥11.48 · the ¥9.64 price screens above the ¥9.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Emei Shan Tourism Co (000888) currently trades at ¥9.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.19, implying the stock looks roughly 4.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Emei Shan Tourism Co generated revenue of 928M CNY at a net margin of 23.7%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.89 (bear case) to ¥11.48 (bull case); at ¥9.64, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -5%, 000888 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.87 ¥11.77 ¥15.80 80
Residual Income ¥4.18 ¥4.47 ¥5.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.88 ¥7.06 ¥8.47 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.81 ¥12.14 ¥17.12 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.44 ¥11.56 ¥16.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.88 ¥6.98 ¥8.28 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.70 ¥12.33 ¥16.58 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.92 ¥12.74 ¥16.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.87 ¥8.13 ¥9.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.68 ¥11.79 ¥15.97 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.82 ¥12.07 ¥16.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.84 ¥9.46 ¥12.67 54
Lynch FV ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.98 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.98 46
EPV ¥6.44 ¥7.01 ¥7.51 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.89 ¥9.19 ¥11.48 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.59 ¥2.13 ¥2.66 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.32 ¥7.10 ¥8.87 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.61 ¥11.87 ¥14.13 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.34 ¥11.52 ¥13.69 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.32 ¥4.95 ¥5.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.53 ¥3.39 ¥5.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.87 ¥11.77 ¥15.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.88 ¥7.06 ¥8.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.18 ¥4.47 ¥5.02 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.70 ¥7.73 ¥8.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.81 ¥8.29 ¥10.78 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.79) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 928M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 23.7%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow 287M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 23.7
More key figures
Operating margin 31.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.5%
Net cash 1.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd engages in the tourism business. The company provides ticket booking and cableway services. It also engages in hotel-related business. In addition, the company is involved in the tea production and sales, big data, performing arts, and other businesses.

Full company description

Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd engages in the tourism business. The company provides ticket booking and cableway services. It also engages in hotel-related business. In addition, the company is involved in the tea production and sales, big data, performing arts, and other businesses. Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Emeishan City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Emei Shan Tourism Co reported revenue of ¥933M in FY2025 versus ¥629M in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥220M in FY2025, compounding +86.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
933M CNY
Latest YoY
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+9.9%
Revenue +10.4%/yr
FY21 ¥629M
FY22 ¥431M
FY23 ¥1.0B
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥933M
Net income +86.8%/yr
FY21 ¥18.1M
FY22 −¥146M
FY23 ¥228M
FY24 ¥235M
FY25 ¥220M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emei Shan Tourism Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000888

Peer Group

Travel Services · 90 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 25
PAST 22 · sector 36
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 47 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $182.80 $152.94 -16%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $148.62 $57.47 -61%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $286.96 $215.19 -25%
Viking Holdings VIK $100.69 $43.51 -57%
Carnival Corporation CCL $26.41 $31.36 +19%
Expedia Group EXPE $268.77 $248.63 -7%
Trip.com Group TCOM $42.45 $88.82 +109%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $19.46 $20.28 +4%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.40 $4.17 -56%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $73.27 $27.29 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Emei Shan Tourism Co (000888) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.19 versus a price of ¥9.64, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 000888?
Our model-based fair value for Emei Shan Tourism Co is ¥9.19 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.64.
What is the quality score of 000888?
Emei Shan Tourism Co has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Emei Shan Tourism Co (000888)?
Emei Shan Tourism Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 928M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000888?
The net profit margin of Emei Shan Tourism Co is about 23.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Emei Shan Tourism Co pay a dividend?
Emei Shan Tourism Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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