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Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd ¥0.94, price ¥7.83, upside -88.0%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE0000007T7

JF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd

000890 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.9400 · Strongly overvalued (−88%)
!Quality 38/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -24.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/12)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥17.61 ¥2.32 Fair Value ¥0.9400 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.32 – ¥17.61 · fair‑value band ¥0.7700 – ¥1.14 · the ¥7.83 price screens above the ¥0.9400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Fasten Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of steel wires and wire ropes in China and internationally.

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Jiangsu Fasten Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of steel wires and wire ropes in China and internationally. It also designs and develops prefabricated parallel steel strands, prefabricated covered stay cables, dry air system equipment, anchors, suspenders, and prestressed structural cables; develops and produces building prestressed hardware products, corrugated hardware pipe fittings, and clip hardware products; produces architectural hardware products; and produces, develops, processes, and sells steel ropes and cords, and other steel wire rope products. In addition, the company wholesales wire rods, wire drawing dies, diamond dies, spare parts, and auxiliary raw materials; produces and sells nickel-titanium memory alloy products; and produces optical fibers, optical cables, and related products for communications markets. Further, it provides technical consultancy and after sales support services; disaster prevention, loss prevention or risk assessment, and risk management consulting services; formulates insurance plans for policyholders; and handles inspections and claims for the insured or beneficiaries on behalf of the insured or beneficiaries. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Jiangyin, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890) currently trades at ¥7.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9400, implying the stock looks roughly 732.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥0.9800 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥7.83 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.3500, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.7700 (bear) to ¥1.14 (bull), the price of ¥7.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd reported revenue of 310M CNY in FY2025 versus 667M CNY in FY2021, a compound −17.4%/yr. Reported net income was −67.7M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.0B CNY (≈ $603M) · P/S ratio 13.1 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1800 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −21.8% · Return on equity −139% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% · Operating margin −8.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −88%, 000890 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0500 to ¥1.47). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.7700 Fair Value ¥0.9400 Bull ¥1.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥1.09 ¥1.44 ¥2.06 81
Growth DCF ¥1.13 ¥1.47 ¥2.02 79
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.6000 ¥0.6900 ¥0.8000 77
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.09 ¥1.44 ¥2.06 81
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7600 ¥0.9600 ¥1.25 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.6000 ¥0.6900 ¥0.8000 77
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8800 ¥1.04 ¥1.20 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.7900 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9400 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.3000 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4100 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.5800 ¥0.7600 ¥0.9500 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.0300 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.13 ¥1.47 ¥2.02 79
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7600 ¥0.9800 ¥1.27 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.9% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.6% (2020) → −6.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+63.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +60.8% a year for the price.

000890 screens 733% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 412 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 20.97× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.95× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 29.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $245.66 $116.05 −53%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $233.99 $127.14 −46%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,267 ₹1,127 −11%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹184.97 ₹147.13 −20%
Reliance, Inc RS $386.95 $211.57 −45%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.73 ¥8.07 +41%
POSCO Holdings PKX $59.05 $68.58 +16%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.12 ¥0.5500 −74%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,141 ₹516.27 −55%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,857 ₹771.10 −58%

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Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥0.9400 −733%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000890.SHE

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9400 versus a price of ¥7.83, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000890?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is ¥0.9400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.83.
What is the quality score of 000890?
Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.9400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.7700, optimistic scenario ¥1.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.9400, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥7.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.7700, optimistic scenario ¥1.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 309M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +63.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000890 use?
Our models discount Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd that is +63.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd grew -7.9 % a year. The price currently implies +63.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (+63.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.61 %: that much free cash flow Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd it is ¥0.9400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.83. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000890 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.83, fair value ¥0.9400, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000890?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.9400). For Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd the two are ¥6.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd at about 4.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.83; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.9400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000890?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.7700, base ¥0.9400, optimistic ¥1.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −138.6%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000890 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd trades at ¥7.83, about 56% below its 52-week high of ¥17.61 and 119% above the low of ¥3.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.9400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.83, calculated fair value ¥0.9400 (−88%), Quality Score 38/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000890 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.9400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥7.83. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.9400, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is 4.0B CNY (≈ $603M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is 13.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd are ¥−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is −21.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is −139% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd are growing −90.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd (000890) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Fasten Co Ltd is 635M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 31.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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