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Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co (000917) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 10.0B CNY

HT Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co 000917 · SHE
Price¥7.18
Fair Value¥2.97
Upside-58.6%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.44% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.23 – ¥3.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.65 to ¥2.97 (+80.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +13.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.27 ¥3.86 Fair Value ¥2.97 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.86 – ¥13.27 · fair‑value band ¥2.23 – ¥3.71 · the ¥7.18 price screens above the ¥2.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co (000917) currently trades at ¥7.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.97, implying the stock looks roughly 58.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co generated revenue of 4.5B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.23 (bear case) to ¥3.71 (bull case); at ¥7.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -59%, 000917 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.3300 ¥1.05 ¥2.19 80
Residual Income ¥5.05 ¥4.71 ¥3.53 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.4400 ¥1.31 ¥2.34 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.3200 ¥1.05 ¥2.22 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.5900 ¥1.49 ¥2.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.4400 ¥1.32 ¥2.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.7700 ¥1.94 ¥3.36 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.5100 ¥1.45 ¥2.47 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.3500 ¥1.15 ¥2.28 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.6000 ¥1.59 ¥2.97 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.4300 ¥1.24 ¥2.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.6600 ¥2.37 ¥3.19 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5600 ¥0.8000 ¥1.04 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5600 ¥0.8000 ¥1.04 46
EPV ¥0.0100 ¥0.1200 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.60 ¥2.14 ¥2.67 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.24 ¥1.65 ¥2.06 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.24 ¥1.65 ¥2.06 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.00 ¥1.61 ¥2.22 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.20 ¥1.88 ¥2.55 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.5500 ¥1.15 ¥1.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.66 ¥4.90 ¥7.32 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.3300 ¥1.05 ¥2.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.4400 ¥1.31 ¥2.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.05 ¥4.71 ¥3.53 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0100 ¥0.1200 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.10 ¥1.57 ¥2.04 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.90) versus Economic Profit (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 2.1%
Free cash flow 139M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 235.3
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net debt 1.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co., Ltd. engages in the advertising business in the People's Republic of China. It offers advertising agencies, rail self-media advertising, online games, etc.; and engages in the investment and cultural tourism business. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Changsha, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co reported revenue of ¥4.3B in FY2025 versus ¥4.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥138M in FY2025, compounding −19.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+13.7%
Revenue −0.0%/yr
FY21 ¥4.3B
FY22 ¥3.7B
FY23 ¥3.9B
FY24 ¥3.9B
FY25 ¥4.3B
Net income −19.7%/yr
FY21 ¥330M
FY22 ¥209M
FY23 ¥176M
FY24 ¥95.9M
FY25 ¥138M

000917 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000917

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 235.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 44.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 16.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 84 · sector 8
PAST 8 · sector 7
HEALTH 89 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $19.91 $17.17 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co (000917) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.97 versus a price of ¥7.18, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000917?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co is ¥2.97 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.18.
What is the quality score of 000917?
Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co (000917)?
Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000917?
The net profit margin of Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co pay a dividend?
Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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