China Railway Materials Company (000927) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 15.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from ¥1.57 (bear) to ¥2.62 (bull), base ¥2.09. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.25 – ¥4.35 · fair‑value band ¥1.57 – ¥2.62 · the ¥2.44 price screens above the ¥2.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
China Railway Materials Company (000927) currently trades at ¥2.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.09, implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Railway Materials Company generated revenue of 33.5B CNY at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.57 (bear case) to ¥2.62 (bull case); at ¥2.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -14%, 000927 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥4.42) versus Asset-Based (¥1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Railway Materials Company Limited provides material supply chain management services for rail transit industry in China.
Full company description
China Railway Materials Company Limited provides material supply chain management services for rail transit industry in China. It offers supply chain integration services for railway diesel and lubricating oils; rail operation and maintenance services, such as procurement and supply, quality supervision, transportation organization, operation and maintenance, intelligent manufacturing, digital services, and welding processing; and railway equipment, including wheels, axles, bearings, couplers, buffers, braking devices, and other running parts, as well as H and B-shaped steel products, bamboo flooring, high-speed rail glasses, and other vehicle materials. The company also engages in the integrated railway logistics and dangerous goods logistics business; centralized procurement of railway construction materials; bidding agency business; and railway engineering material supply business. In addition, it offers clinkers, finished cement and commercial concrete products, sleepers, elastic support blocks, and other products for use in the construction of railways, roads, bridges, tunnels, and buildings; and engineering construction materials and bulk material supply chain integration services. The company was founded in 1887 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Railway Materials Company reported revenue of ¥34.3B in FY2025 versus ¥59.1B in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥576M in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.
000927 screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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