Lubair Aviation Technology Co (001316) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −14.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥23.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range ¥10.26 – ¥44.31 · fair‑value band ¥14.95 – ¥23.35 · the ¥26.62 price screens above the ¥19.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Lubair Aviation Technology Co (001316) currently trades at ¥26.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.18, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lubair Aviation Technology Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue grew 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 517M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.95 (bear case) to ¥23.35 (bull case); at ¥26.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -28%, 001316 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥26.67) versus Asset-Based (¥5.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. provides aviation material solutionsThe company offers aircraft parts, such as communication, landing gear, engine, flight control/navigation, hydraulic, cabin, lighting, structure, APU, parking apron, gallery bridge, and terminal; and repair workshop services.
Full company description
Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. provides aviation material solutionsThe company offers aircraft parts, such as communication, landing gear, engine, flight control/navigation, hydraulic, cabin, lighting, structure, APU, parking apron, gallery bridge, and terminal; and repair workshop services. It also provides lubricating oil, seat belt, scouring pad, sheet material, fuse, decorative strip, marking pen, standard parts, surface treatment, glass mcro-ball material, test agent, deicing fluid, hook and loop fasteners, grinding, printer paper, wire, floor sealant, ground consumable and headset, light bulb, battery, plugs, silica gel, antifreeze, preservative, privacy film, pilot headset, honeycomb core, SERVICE, steel cable, insulation material, tool, interior laminator, consumable, adhesive tape and film, metallic material, nylon cable tie, PPE, coolant, grain, aluminum foil, and extinguishing agent. In addition, the company offers sandblasting material, other ground support equipment, other aviation chemicals and raw materials, other consumption products, cutting fluid, detergent, cleaning foam, grease, equipment and facilities, consumable, casing tubes, special lubricant, coating, fiber cloth, disinfectant, oxygen mask, hydraulic oil, fluorescence stip, pre-moisturize wiping paper, adhesive and sealants, and hook and loop fasteners, as well as interior consumed parts, raw materials, and PMA. It sells its products under the Run Xiaobei, LuHoPe, SAY MORE, Dr.CC, and AeroComm brands, as well as ExxonMobil, 3M, AkzoNobel, APLIX, BREYDEN, CLICK BOND, DUPONT, EURO-COMPOSITES, FEDERAL MOGUEL, GECurrent, HUNTSMAN, HUTCHINSON, H.B.Fuller, LANXESS, LONSEAL, Lufthansa, McGean, Permabond, ROYAL, Sabic, and TIME brands. Further, it provides aircraft tape and film product, exterior cleaning, deep cleaning, adhesive fastening support, polymer composite sheet solutions. Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lubair Aviation Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥697M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥184M in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.
001316 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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