Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision ¥27.02, price ¥28.90, upside -6.5%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range ¥10.26 – ¥44.31 · fair‑value band ¥20.18 – ¥34.62 · the ¥28.90 price screens above the ¥27.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. provides aviation material solutionsThe company offers aircraft parts, such as communication, landing gear, engine, flight control/navigation, hydraulic, cabin, lighting, structure, APU, parking apron, gallery bridge, and terminal; and repair workshop services.
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Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. provides aviation material solutionsThe company offers aircraft parts, such as communication, landing gear, engine, flight control/navigation, hydraulic, cabin, lighting, structure, APU, parking apron, gallery bridge, and terminal; and repair workshop services. It also provides lubricating oil, seat belt, scouring pad, sheet material, fuse, decorative strip, marking pen, standard parts, surface treatment, glass mcro-ball material, test agent, deicing fluid, hook and loop fasteners, grinding, printer paper, wire, floor sealant, ground consumable and headset, light bulb, battery, plugs, silica gel, antifreeze, preservative, privacy film, pilot headset, honeycomb core, SERVICE, steel cable, insulation material, tool, interior laminator, consumable, adhesive tape and film, metallic material, nylon cable tie, PPE, coolant, grain, aluminum foil, and extinguishing agent. In addition, the company offers sandblasting material, other ground support equipment, other aviation chemicals and raw materials, other consumption products, cutting fluid, detergent, cleaning foam, grease, equipment and facilities, consumable, casing tubes, special lubricant, coating, fiber cloth, disinfectant, oxygen mask, hydraulic oil, fluorescence stip, pre-moisturize wiping paper, adhesive and sealants, and hook and loop fasteners, as well as interior consumed parts, raw materials, and PMA. It sells its products under the Run Xiaobei, LuHoPe, SAY MORE, Dr.CC, and AeroComm brands, as well as ExxonMobil, 3M, AkzoNobel, APLIX, BREYDEN, CLICK BOND, DUPONT, EURO-COMPOSITES, FEDERAL MOGUEL, GECurrent, HUNTSMAN, HUTCHINSON, H.B.Fuller, LANXESS, LONSEAL, Lufthansa, McGean, Permabond, ROYAL, Sabic, and TIME brands. Further, it provides aircraft tape and film product, exterior cleaning, deep cleaning, adhesive fastening support, polymer composite sheet solutions. Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316) currently trades at ¥28.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥27.02, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥26.77 per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥28.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.46, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥20.18 (bear) to ¥34.62 (bull), the price of ¥28.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 697M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was 184M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.7B CNY (≈ $695M) · P/E ratio 21.9 · P/S ratio 3.31 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.32 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on equity 16.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −7%, 001316 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥20.18Fair Value ¥27.02Bull ¥34.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5559 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
’18
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 19%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.6%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.0% a year for the price.
Compare Zhejiang XiaSha Precision with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Above median
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
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Is Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥27.02 versus a price of ¥28.90, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 001316?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is ¥27.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.90.
What is the quality score of 001316?
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥27.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥20.18, optimistic scenario ¥34.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang XiaSha Precision stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥27.02, about −7% upside versus a price of ¥28.90 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥20.18, optimistic scenario ¥34.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Zhejiang XiaSha Precision pay a dividend?
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zhejiang XiaSha Precision would have to grow free cash flow by +7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 001316 use?
Our models discount Zhejiang XiaSha Precision at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zhejiang XiaSha Precision that is +7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Zhejiang XiaSha Precision grew +11.0 % a year. The price currently implies +7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (+7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.44 %: that much free cash flow Zhejiang XiaSha Precision produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang XiaSha Precision it is ¥27.02 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥28.90. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhejiang XiaSha Precision stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 001316 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.90, fair value ¥27.02, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001316?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥27.02). For Zhejiang XiaSha Precision the two are ¥1.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang XiaSha Precision worth?
The market values Zhejiang XiaSha Precision at about 4.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥27.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001316?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang XiaSha Precision: cautious scenario ¥20.18, base ¥27.02, optimistic ¥34.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥28.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001316?
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥27.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.6, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 17.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001316 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision trades at ¥28.90, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥44.31 and 31% above the low of ¥21.99 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥27.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang XiaSha Precision?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang XiaSha Precision stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥28.90, calculated fair value ¥27.02 (−7%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001316 calculated?
We run Zhejiang XiaSha Precision through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥27.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang XiaSha Precision itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥28.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥27.02, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang XiaSha Precision right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 4.7B CNY (≈ $695M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 3.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang XiaSha Precision are ¥1.32 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 1.9% (payout 42.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The net margin of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 13.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is 21.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Revenue at Zhejiang XiaSha Precision is growing +25.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang XiaSha Precision are growing +76.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Zhejiang XiaSha Precision (001316) hold?
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision holds more cash than debt, 517M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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