Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co (001324) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +1.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range ¥14.09 – ¥37.50 · fair‑value band ¥4.82 – ¥6.33 · the ¥19.68 price screens above the ¥6.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co (001324) currently trades at ¥19.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.23, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co generated revenue of 483M CNY at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 59.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.82 (bear case) to ¥6.33 (bull case); at ¥19.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -68%, 001324 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.53) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co., Ltd. provides solutions for the interior and exterior ornamentation of rail transit vehicles and buildings in China and internationally.
Full company description
Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co., Ltd. provides solutions for the interior and exterior ornamentation of rail transit vehicles and buildings in China and internationally. It offers aluminum and stone honeycomb panels, aluminum honeycomb composite insulation board assembly curtain walls, and assembled curtain wall with composite thermal insulation boards for workshop; and indoor assembly type aluminum honeycomb composite ceiling and wall panel systems, indoor assembly type aluminum honeycomb composite partition wall and hospital prefabricated built-in integrated systems, decorative application of aluminum honeycomb composite panels in elevator, and decorative applications of aluminum honeycomb composite panel in furniture and doors. The company also provides painting and Han culture painting modules; honeycomb, modular, electric heating, foam, glued, equipment compartment, and phenolic floors; and information displays, electrical cabinets, luggage cabinets, tea and dining tables, glass partitions, aisle handrails, wash rooms, sleepers, private rooms, emergency escape doors, mid roofs, side roofs, air outlet grills, side walls, door stand covers, windshields, armrests, wind tunnels, seats, waists, driver's cab partitions, front cover cabinets of driver's cab, driver's interiors, secondary skeletons, sliding doors, multifunctional and wall cabinets, bars, toilets or showers, new energy shelters, bathrooms, and shower rooms, side wall panels, cabin boards, and folding conference tables, as well as building decoration systems. Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Changzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co reported revenue of ¥483M in FY2025 versus ¥480M in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥42.3M in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.
001324 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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