Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Oriental Press Group Ltd HK$0.39, price HK$0.21, upside +84.8%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2090 – HK$0.5895 · the HK$0.2110 price screens below the HK$0.3900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Oriental Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the publication of newspapers in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through two segments, Publication of Newspaper and Money Landing Business. The company's flagship publication includes Oriental Daily News, a daily newspaper; and on.cc, an online news portal.
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Oriental Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the publication of newspapers in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through two segments, Publication of Newspaper and Money Landing Business. The company's flagship publication includes Oriental Daily News, a daily newspaper; and on.cc, an online news portal. It also offers website and mobile applications, such as Oriental Daily News Web, a news portal; Oriental Daily News ePaper; onCH, which provides news videos of various contents including current affairs, entertainment, industry and economy, sports, lifestyle, and horse racing; Money18, a financial information website; on Football, an online soccer kingdom; and on Racing, which provides racing information catering services. In addition, the company is involved in property investment; canteen operation; Printing of magazines; hotel property investment; and provides human resource, management, printing, publication, transportation, and money lending services, as well as operates as advertising agent. The company was formerly known as Oriental Enterprise Holdings Limited and changed its name to Oriental Media Group Limited in February 2026. Oriental Media Group Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong. Oriental Media Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Magicway Investment Limited.
Stock analysis
Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) currently trades at HK$0.2110, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6900 per share, and 16 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$0.2110 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0500, and 5 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Oriental Press Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$475M in FY2026 versus HK$736M in FY2022, a compound −10.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.4M in FY2026, compounding −46.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$623M (≈ $79.5M) · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 85%, 0018 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3900Fair Value HK$0.3900Bull HK$0.3900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.9% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−36.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−41.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−41.1% vs −13.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → −3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Oriental Press Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+84.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oriental Press Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0018
Frequently asked questions
Is Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3900 versus a price of HK$0.2110, about +85% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0018?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Press Group Ltd is HK$0.3900 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2110.
What is the quality score of 0018?
Oriental Press Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3900 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 21 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oriental Press Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3900, about +85% upside versus a price of HK$0.2110 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Oriental Press Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$496M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Oriental Press Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Oriental Press Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oriental Press Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0018 use?
Our models discount Oriental Press Group Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oriental Press Group Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oriental Press Group Ltd grew -7.5 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oriental Press Group Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.66 %: that much free cash flow Oriental Press Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oriental Press Group Ltd it is HK$0.3900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2110. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oriental Press Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0018 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2110, fair value HK$0.3900, a gap of about +85% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0018?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2110); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3900). For Oriental Press Group Ltd the two are HK$0.1790 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oriental Press Group Ltd worth?
The market values Oriental Press Group Ltd at about HK$623M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2110; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3900 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 0018?
Oriental Press Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 2.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 0018?
The PEG ratio of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 0.66 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oriental Press Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0018 from its 52-week high?
Oriental Press Group Ltd trades at HK$0.2110, about 43% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3700 and 1% above the low of HK$0.2090 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oriental Press Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oriental Press Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2110, calculated fair value HK$0.3900 (+85%), Quality Score 65/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0018 calculated?
We run Oriental Press Group Ltd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Oriental Press Group Ltd currently trades 46 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.2110. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3900, about +85% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oriental Press Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) come from?
Earnings per share at Oriental Press Group Ltd grew −4.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −8.0 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Oriental Press Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The market capitalisation of Oriental Press Group Ltd is HK$623M (≈ $79.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Press Group Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The dividend yield of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 4.7% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The net margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The operating margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Revenue at Oriental Press Group Ltd is growing −10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Press Group Ltd are growing −55.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) hold?
Oriental Press Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$549M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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