Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Oriental Press Group Ltd stock HK$0.37, price HK$0.20, upside +88.8%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1820 – HK$0.5895 · fair‑value band HK$0.3500 – HK$0.4100 · the HK$0.1960 price screens below the HK$0.3700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Oriental Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the publication of newspapers in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through two segments, Publication of Newspaper and Money Landing Business.
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The company's flagship publication includes Oriental Daily News, a daily newspaper; and on.cc, an online news portal.
It also offers website and mobile applications, such as Oriental Daily News Web, a news portal; Oriental Daily News ePaper; onCH, which provides news videos of various contents including current affairs, entertainment, industry and economy, sports, lifestyle, and horse racing; Money18, a financial information website; on Football, an online soccer kingdom; and on Racing, which provides racing information catering services.
In addition, the company is involved in property investment; canteen operation; Printing of magazines; hotel property investment; and provides human resource, management, printing, publication, transportation, and money lending services, as well as operates as advertising agent.
The company was formerly known as Oriental Enterprise Holdings Limited and changed its name to Oriental Media Group Limited in February 2026. Oriental Media Group Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong.
Oriental Media Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Magicway Investment Limited.
Stock analysis
Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) currently trades at HK$0.1960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3700, implying the stock looks roughly 47% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4150 per share, and 15 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$0.1960 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0500, and 6 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3500 (bear) to HK$0.4100 (bull), the price of HK$0.1960 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Oriental Press Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$475M in FY2026 versus HK$736M in FY2022, a compound −10.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.4M in FY2026, compounding −46.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$470M (≈ $59.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 0.53 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 89%, 0018 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.3500Fair Value HK$0.3700BullHK$0.4100
Price HK$0.1960 · Upside +88.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.9% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−36.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−41.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−41.1% vs −13.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → −3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Compare Oriental Press Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 104 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Below median
Fair Value upside+88.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−10.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)19.0× · Pricier than median
P/B0.28× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.95× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)11.9× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oriental Press Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0018
Frequently asked questions
Is Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3700 versus a price of HK$0.1960, about +89% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0018?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Press Group Ltd is HK$0.3700 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1960.
What is the quality score of 0018?
Oriental Press Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3700 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3500, optimistic scenario HK$0.4100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oriental Press Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3700, about +89% upside versus a price of HK$0.1960 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3500, optimistic scenario HK$0.4100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Oriental Press Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$496M (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does Oriental Press Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Oriental Press Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 5.10% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Oriental Press Group Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.01 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 25, 2026. The payout ratio is 180% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.65 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oriental Press Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.5 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0018 use?
Our models discount Oriental Press Group Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oriental Press Group Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oriental Press Group Ltd grew -7.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oriental Press Group Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.41 %: that much free cash flow Oriental Press Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oriental Press Group Ltd it is HK$0.3700 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1960. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Oriental Press Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 0018 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1960, fair value HK$0.3700, a gap of about +89% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0018?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1960); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3700). For Oriental Press Group Ltd the two are HK$0.1740 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oriental Press Group Ltd worth?
The market values Oriental Press Group Ltd at about HK$470M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1960; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0018?
Our models span a range for Oriental Press Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3500, base HK$0.3700, optimistic HK$0.4100 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price HK$0.1960). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0018?
Oriental Press Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Nov 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3700 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 13.3. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.3, P/S 0.9.
What is the PEG ratio of 0018?
The PEG ratio of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 0.66 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oriental Press Group Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity 0.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0018 from its 52-week high?
Oriental Press Group Ltd trades at HK$0.1960, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3550 and 8% above the low of HK$0.1820 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oriental Press Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oriental Press Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price HK$0.1960, calculated fair value HK$0.3700 (+89%), Quality Score 60/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0018 calculated?
We run Oriental Press Group Ltd through 21 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.3700 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Oriental Press Group Ltd currently trades 47% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.1960. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3700, about +89% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oriental Press Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) come from?
Earnings per share at Oriental Press Group Ltd grew −4.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −8.0 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Oriental Press Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The market capitalisation of Oriental Press Group Ltd is HK$470M (≈ $59.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The dividend yield of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 5.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The net margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
The operating margin of Oriental Press Group Ltd is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Revenue at Oriental Press Group Ltd is growing −10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Press Group Ltd are growing −55.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Oriental Press Group Ltd (0018) hold?
Oriental Press Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$549M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 13, 2026