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Oriental Media Group (0018) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$623M

OM Oriental Media Group 0018 · HK
PriceHK$0.2360
Fair ValueHK$0.1200
Upside-49.2%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.85% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0900 – HK$0.1500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −7.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.5895 HK$0.2130 Fair Value HK$0.1200 Oct 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2130 – HK$0.5895 · fair‑value band HK$0.0900 – HK$0.1500 · the HK$0.2360 price screens above the HK$0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Oriental Media Group (0018) currently trades at HK$0.2360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 49.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oriental Media Group generated revenue of HK$496M at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$549M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0900 (bear case) to HK$0.1500 (bull case); at HK$0.2360, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -49%, 0018 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.6500 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9500 80
Residual Income HK$0.4500 HK$0.4100 HK$0.2700 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6300 HK$0.8000 HK$1.03 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6400 HK$0.7600 HK$0.9700 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.3400 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4200 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6300 HK$0.7900 HK$1.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4300 HK$0.4600 HK$0.4900 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4600 HK$0.5000 HK$0.5500 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6200 HK$0.7400 HK$0.8600 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.5200 HK$0.5500 HK$0.5700 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.5300 HK$0.5700 HK$0.6000 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0500 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.5400 HK$0.5900 HK$0.6500 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.5400 HK$0.6500 HK$0.7800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1500 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 55
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2800 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3000 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.6500 HK$0.8300 HK$1.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.7000 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6500 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6300 HK$0.8000 HK$1.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4500 HK$0.4100 HK$0.2700 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.7700) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$496M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow HK$120M FY2025
P/E ratio 23.6
More key figures
Operating margin 4.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -55.9%
Net cash HK$549M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oriental Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the publication of newspapers in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through two segments, Publication of Newspaper and Money Landing Business. The company's flagship publication includes Oriental Daily News, a daily newspaper; and on.cc, an online news portal.

Full company description

Oriental Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the publication of newspapers in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through two segments, Publication of Newspaper and Money Landing Business. The company's flagship publication includes Oriental Daily News, a daily newspaper; and on.cc, an online news portal. It also offers website and mobile applications, such as Oriental Daily News Web, a news portal; Oriental Daily News ePaper; onCH, which provides news videos of various contents including current affairs, entertainment, industry and economy, sports, lifestyle, and horse racing; Money18, a financial information website; on Football, an online soccer kingdom; and on Racing, which provides racing information catering services. In addition, the company is involved in property investment; canteen operation; Printing of magazines; hotel property investment; and provides human resource, management, printing, publication, transportation, and money lending services, as well as operates as advertising agent. The company was formerly known as Oriental Enterprise Holdings Limited and changed its name to Oriental Media Group Limited in February 2026. Oriental Media Group Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong. Oriental Media Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Magicway Investment Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Oriental Media Group reported revenue of HK$475M in FY2026 versus HK$736M in FY2022, a compound −10.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.4M in FY2026, compounding −46.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$475M
Latest YoY
−12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Revenue −10.4%/yr
FY22 HK$736M
FY23 HK$677M
FY24 HK$629M
FY25 HK$545M
FY26 HK$475M
Net income −46.8%/yr
FY22 HK$167M
FY23 HK$167M
FY24 HK$75.1M
FY25 HK$52.4M
FY26 HK$13.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −4.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share −8.0 pp

of which total revenue −8.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +2.1 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

0018 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Oriental Media Group · Fair Value
HK$0.1200 −49%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oriental Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0018

Peer Group

Publishing · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.66× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 3 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND 77 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The New York Times Company NYT $63.95 $41.95 -34%
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 ¥9.16 ¥10.07 +10%
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 ¥24.46 ¥10.31 -58%
People.cn CO., LTD 603000 ¥16.85 ¥4.23 -75%
China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 ¥10.31 ¥14.66 +42%
John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY $49.94 $55.90 +12%
Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 ¥7.27 ¥7.54 +4%
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 ¥11.93 ¥21.02 +76%
Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 ¥6.95 ¥11.60 +67%
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 ¥9.38 ¥1.35 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oriental Media Group (0018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1200 versus a price of HK$0.2360, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0018?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Media Group is HK$0.1200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2360.
What is the quality score of 0018?
Oriental Media Group has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oriental Media Group (0018)?
Oriental Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$496M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0018?
The net profit margin of Oriental Media Group is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Oriental Media Group pay a dividend?
Oriental Media Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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